Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 260-319 times on X during March 31 to April 7, 2026, at roughly equal 11-12.5% implied probabilities across top bins, reflecting tight competition driven by his variable daily cadence of 25-60 posts. Recent resolved markets show highs of 364 tweets March 20-27 (~52/day amid Tesla FSD buzz and political discourse) and ~370 March 17-24, but the ongoing March 24-31 week lags below 200 with subdued activity, tempering expectations for a rebound. Key swings hinge on breaking developments like SpaceX updates, xAI announcements, or viral debates, as Musk's engagement spikes unpredictably with cultural flashpoints; watch daily tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com for momentum into April Fools' potential meme surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于260-279 13%
240-259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
$2,204,272 交易量
$2,204,272 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 13%
240-259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
$2,204,272 交易量
$2,204,272 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
8%
240-259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 260-319 times on X during March 31 to April 7, 2026, at roughly equal 11-12.5% implied probabilities across top bins, reflecting tight competition driven by his variable daily cadence of 25-60 posts. Recent resolved markets show highs of 364 tweets March 20-27 (~52/day amid Tesla FSD buzz and political discourse) and ~370 March 17-24, but the ongoing March 24-31 week lags below 200 with subdued activity, tempering expectations for a rebound. Key swings hinge on breaking developments like SpaceX updates, xAI announcements, or viral debates, as Musk's engagement spikes unpredictably with cultural flashpoints; watch daily tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com for momentum into April Fools' potential meme surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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