Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
54
剩余时间
TWEETS
54
剩余时间

240-259 15.5%

260-279 15%

220-239 12.8%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$8,463,988 交易量

240-259 15.5%

260-279 15%

220-239 12.8%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$8,463,988 交易量

40-59

$1,461,937 交易量

<1%

60-79

$127,757 交易量

<1%

80-99

$62,315 交易量

<1%

100-119

$95,008 交易量

<1%

120-139

$70,626 交易量

<1%

140-159

$82,689 交易量

<1%

160-179

$72,528 交易量

2%

180-199

$75,193 交易量

3%

200-219

$70,006 交易量

9%

220-239

$82,768 交易量

13%

240-259

$62,587 交易量

16%

260-279

$76,033 交易量

15%

280-299

$55,436 交易量

12%

300-319

$42,642 交易量

10%

320-339

$46,267 交易量

8%

340-359

$42,330 交易量

5%

360-379

$43,417 交易量

3%

380-399

$53,759 交易量

2%

400-419

$62,570 交易量

1%

420-439

$62,435 交易量

1%

440-459

$51,102 交易量

<1%

460-479

$53,613 交易量

1%

480-499

$49,674 交易量

<1%

500-519

$44,622 交易量

<1%

520-539

$58,250 交易量

<1%

540-559

$73,003 交易量

<1%

560-579

$102,916 交易量

<1%

580+

$114,251 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters around 240–279 posts, with 260–279 (15.5%) edging 240–259 (15.4%) amid high uncertainty from his fluctuating daily rhythm—71 posts on March 27 fueled by FSD safety data and political jabs, but tapering to roughly 54 total through early March 29. This moderate pacing, down from 364 in the prior week (March 20–27), signals trader caution on sustained high-volume bursts without major catalysts like Tesla announcements or X platform drama. Key swing factors include potential spikes from SpaceX updates or viral culture wars through April 3, where breaking news could push toward 280+ or drag below 220, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-money social media forecasting.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters around 240–279 posts, with 260–279 (15.5%) edging 240–259 (15.4%) amid high uncertainty from his fluctuating daily rhythm—71 posts on March 27 fueled by FSD safety data and political jabs, but tapering to roughly 54 total through early March 29. This moderate pacing, down from 364 in the prior week (March 20–27), signals trader caution on sustained high-volume bursts without major catalysts like Tesla announcements or X platform drama. Key swing factors include potential spikes from SpaceX updates or viral culture wars through April 3, where breaking news could push toward 280+ or drag below 220, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-money social media forecasting.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters around 240–279 posts, with 260–279 (15.5%) edging 240–259 (15.4%) amid high uncertainty from his fluctuating daily rhythm—71 posts on March 27 fueled by FSD safety data and political jabs, but tapering to roughly 54 total through early March 29. This moderate pacing, down from 364 in the prior week (March 20–27), signals trader caution on sustained high-volume bursts without major catalysts like Tesla announcements or X platform drama. Key swing factors include potential spikes from SpaceX updates or viral culture wars through April 3, where breaking news could push toward 280+ or drag below 220, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-money social media forecasting.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters around 240–279 posts, with 260–279 (15.5%) edging 240–259 (15.4%) amid high uncertainty from his fluctuating daily rhythm—71 posts on March 27 fueled by FSD safety data and political jabs, but tapering to roughly 54 total through early March 29. This moderate pacing, down from 364 in the prior week (March 20–27), signals trader caution on sustained high-volume bursts without major catalysts like Tesla announcements or X platform drama. Key swing factors include potential spikes from SpaceX updates or viral culture wars through April 3, where breaking news could push toward 280+ or drag below 220, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-money social media forecasting.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"240-259"，概率为 16%，其次是"260-279"，概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 16¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 16%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"已产生 $8.5 million 的总交易量（自Mar 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"的当前领先者是"240-259"，概率为 16%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 16%。紧随其后的结果是"260-279"，概率为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。