Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
54
剩余时间
TWEETS
54
剩余时间

240-259 16.2%

260-279 15%

220-239 14.5%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$8,618,233 交易量

240-259 16.2%

260-279 15%

220-239 14.5%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$8,618,233 交易量

40-59

$1,474,937 交易量

<1%

60-79

$128,763 交易量

<1%

80-99

$63,315 交易量

<1%

100-119

$96,008 交易量

<1%

120-139

$76,314 交易量

<1%

140-159

$104,054 交易量

1%

160-179

$77,965 交易量

3%

180-199

$78,357 交易量

5%

200-219

$75,916 交易量

11%

220-239

$86,282 交易量

14%

240-259

$63,877 交易量

16%

260-279

$78,325 交易量

15%

280-299

$61,326 交易量

12%

300-319

$48,209 交易量

10%

320-339

$48,599 交易量

7%

340-359

$46,754 交易量

4%

360-379

$46,758 交易量

3%

380-399

$57,122 交易量

1%

400-419

$66,677 交易量

1%

420-439

$74,165 交易量

1%

440-459

$58,115 交易量

<1%

460-479

$64,980 交易量

<1%

480-499

$56,618 交易量

<1%

500-519

$47,112 交易量

<1%

520-539

$66,873 交易量

<1%

540-559

$82,485 交易量

<1%

560-579

$102,922 交易量

<1%

580+

$118,619 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 220-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 27 to April 3, reflecting his recent average of roughly 30-35 posts per day amid steady engagement on Tesla FSD safety milestones and political discourse. With 54 posts logged through early March 29 (29% into the period per XTracker), the pace projects below historical weekly norms of 240-286, yet leading bins at 16.2% (240-259) and 14.5% (220-239/260-279) capture trader bets on a mid-week ramp-up driven by viral replies and company announcements. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX updates or heightened cultural debates, which could push toward 300+ amid Elon's unpredictable posting bursts, while quieter days favor the lower 200s. Resolution hinges on final tallies by April 3.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 220-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 27 to April 3, reflecting his recent average of roughly 30-35 posts per day amid steady engagement on Tesla FSD safety milestones and political discourse. With 54 posts logged through early March 29 (29% into the period per XTracker), the pace projects below historical weekly norms of 240-286, yet leading bins at 16.2% (240-259) and 14.5% (220-239/260-279) capture trader bets on a mid-week ramp-up driven by viral replies and company announcements. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX updates or heightened cultural debates, which could push toward 300+ amid Elon's unpredictable posting bursts, while quieter days favor the lower 200s. Resolution hinges on final tallies by April 3.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 220-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 27 to April 3, reflecting his recent average of roughly 30-35 posts per day amid steady engagement on Tesla FSD safety milestones and political discourse. With 54 posts logged through early March 29 (29% into the period per XTracker), the pace projects below historical weekly norms of 240-286, yet leading bins at 16.2% (240-259) and 14.5% (220-239/260-279) capture trader bets on a mid-week ramp-up driven by viral replies and company announcements. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX updates or heightened cultural debates, which could push toward 300+ amid Elon's unpredictable posting bursts, while quieter days favor the lower 200s. Resolution hinges on final tallies by April 3.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 220-279 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 27 to April 3, reflecting his recent average of roughly 30-35 posts per day amid steady engagement on Tesla FSD safety milestones and political discourse. With 54 posts logged through early March 29 (29% into the period per XTracker), the pace projects below historical weekly norms of 240-286, yet leading bins at 16.2% (240-259) and 14.5% (220-239/260-279) capture trader bets on a mid-week ramp-up driven by viral replies and company announcements. Key swing factors include potential SpaceX updates or heightened cultural debates, which could push toward 300+ amid Elon's unpredictable posting bursts, while quieter days favor the lower 200s. Resolution hinges on final tallies by April 3.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"240-259"，概率为 16%，其次是"220-239"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 16¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 16%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"已产生 $8.6 million 的总交易量（自Mar 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"的当前领先者是"240-259"，概率为 16%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 16%。紧随其后的结果是"220-239"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。