Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?

1400+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$3,452,399 交易量

1400+ 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$3,452,399 交易量

<20

$91,488 交易量

20-39

$87,126 交易量

40-59

$25,371 交易量

60-79

$18,162 交易量

80-99

$32,398 交易量

100-119

$20,564 交易量

120-139

$31,966 交易量

140-159

$20,966 交易量

160-179

$24,176 交易量

180-199

$25,944 交易量

200-219

$25,977 交易量

220-239

$35,830 交易量

240-259

$32,701 交易量

260-279

$36,303 交易量

280-299

$75,760 交易量

300-319

$57,618 交易量

320-339

$55,906 交易量

340-359

$36,207 交易量

360-379

$41,113 交易量

380-399

$37,308 交易量

400-419

$50,534 交易量

420-439

$55,281 交易量

440-459

$47,585 交易量

460-479

$30,562 交易量

480-499

$41,978 交易量

500-519

$51,666 交易量

520-539

$66,946 交易量

540-559

$63,931 交易量

560-579

$71,321 交易量

580-599

$69,151 交易量

600-639

$57,426 交易量

640-679

$39,942 交易量

680-719

$63,472 交易量

720-759

$59,589 交易量

760-799

$40,040 交易量

800-839

$46,145 交易量

840-879

$97,844 交易量

880-919

$99,707 交易量

920-959

$102,069 交易量

960-999

$109,674 交易量

1000-1039

$91,239 交易量

1040-1079

$134,427 交易量

1080-1119

$97,018 交易量

1120-1159

$102,003 交易量

1160-1199

$152,133 交易量

1200-1239

$116,355 交易量

1240-1279

$130,209 交易量

1280-1319

$135,758 交易量

1320-1359

$114,363 交易量

1360-1399

$117,590 交易量

1400+

$183,557 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of January 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,452,399
结束日期
Feb 1, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 24, 2025, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of January 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400+" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?" is "1400+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "埃隆·马斯克 2026年1月发了多少条推文?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.