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3月31日的第二大富豪？

Market icon

3月31日的第二大富豪？

拉里·佩奇 95.3%

杰夫·贝索斯 2.0%

谢尔盖·布林 1.0%

埃隆·马斯克 <1%

Polymarket

$253,928 交易量

拉里·佩奇 95.3%

杰夫·贝索斯 2.0%

谢尔盖·布林 1.0%

埃隆·马斯克 <1%

Polymarket

$253,928 交易量

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拉里·佩奇

$124,497 交易量

95%

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杰夫·贝索斯

$14,921 交易量

2%

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谢尔盖·布林

$20,464 交易量

1%

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埃隆·马斯克

$27,820 交易量

<1%

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黄仁勋

$14,841 交易量

<1%

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马克·扎克伯格

$34,067 交易量

<1%

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贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$8,812 交易量

<1%

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史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$0 交易量

<1%

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沃伦·巴菲特

$0 交易量

<1%

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拉里·埃里森

$8,506 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Larry Page as the frontrunner for second-richest person on March 31, with a 96.3% implied probability reflecting his commanding $13.4 billion lead in Forbes' real-time billionaires list—$227.7 billion versus Jeff Bezos's $214.3 billion as of March 28. This positioning stems from Alphabet's sustained market dominance, despite a 5.14% stock dip today amid broader tech sector pressures like geopolitical tensions and AI spending concerns, which outpaced Amazon's 3.15% decline but failed to erode Page's buffer. No major developments in the past week have disrupted the hierarchy set by Forbes' March 10 annual ranking. Realistic upsets would require an improbable Amazon rally exceeding 6% or a sharp Alphabet plunge from fresh regulatory scrutiny before markets close Friday, underscoring the market's confidence in Page's momentum.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Larry Page as the frontrunner for second-richest person on March 31, with a 96.3% implied probability reflecting his commanding $13.4 billion lead in Forbes' real-time billionaires list—$227.7 billion versus Jeff Bezos's $214.3 billion as of March 28. This positioning stems from Alphabet's sustained market dominance, despite a 5.14% stock dip today amid broader tech sector pressures like geopolitical tensions and AI spending concerns, which outpaced Amazon's 3.15% decline but failed to erode Page's buffer. No major developments in the past week have disrupted the hierarchy set by Forbes' March 10 annual ranking. Realistic upsets would require an improbable Amazon rally exceeding 6% or a sharp Alphabet plunge from fresh regulatory scrutiny before markets close Friday, underscoring the market's confidence in Page's momentum.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Larry Page as the frontrunner for second-richest person on March 31, with a 96.3% implied probability reflecting his commanding $13.4 billion lead in Forbes' real-time billionaires list—$227.7 billion versus Jeff Bezos's $214.3 billion as of March 28. This positioning stems from Alphabet's sustained market dominance, despite a 5.14% stock dip today amid broader tech sector pressures like geopolitical tensions and AI spending concerns, which outpaced Amazon's 3.15% decline but failed to erode Page's buffer. No major developments in the past week have disrupted the hierarchy set by Forbes' March 10 annual ranking. Realistic upsets would require an improbable Amazon rally exceeding 6% or a sharp Alphabet plunge from fresh regulatory scrutiny before markets close Friday, underscoring the market's confidence in Page's momentum.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Larry Page as the frontrunner for second-richest person on March 31, with a 96.3% implied probability reflecting his commanding $13.4 billion lead in Forbes' real-time billionaires list—$227.7 billion versus Jeff Bezos's $214.3 billion as of March 28. This positioning stems from Alphabet's sustained market dominance, despite a 5.14% stock dip today amid broader tech sector pressures like geopolitical tensions and AI spending concerns, which outpaced Amazon's 3.15% decline but failed to erode Page's buffer. No major developments in the past week have disrupted the hierarchy set by Forbes' March 10 annual ranking. Realistic upsets would require an improbable Amazon rally exceeding 6% or a sharp Alphabet plunge from fresh regulatory scrutiny before markets close Friday, underscoring the market's confidence in Page's momentum.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月31日的第二大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 95%，其次是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"3月31日的第二大富豪？"已产生 $253.9K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月31日的第二大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月31日的第二大富豪？"的当前领先者是"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 95%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月31日的第二大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。