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debased

加入时间 3月 2023·38.4K 浏览量

no crazy war, yes peace

$781.2K

持仓价值

$2.1M

最高赢利

4,037

预测

盈亏

$757.80
Polymarket

过去 24 小时

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢
450,000.0 份额
$276,975.00$51,975.00 (23.1%)
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Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢
450,000.0 份额
$173,025.00-$51,975.00 (-23.1%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 97¢
84,819.2 份额
$83,758.96$1,523.27 (1.85%)
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Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 80.8¢
31,565.5 份额
$31,281.45$5,767.50 (22.61%)
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Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.6¢
29,679.3 份额
$29,278.65$10.77 (0.04%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 91.9¢
24,336.0 份额
$22,754.18$401.37 (1.8%)
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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

No 99.2¢
22,222.0 份额
$22,144.26$92.62 (0.42%)
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Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.3¢
22,222.0 份额
$22,077.56$11.13 (0.05%)
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Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 99.7¢
16,916.2 份额
$16,857.00-$4.55 (-0.03%)
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 80.5¢
16,686.0 份额
$12,431.06-$999.94 (-7.45%)
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 58.3¢
12,580.3 份额
$8,742.04$1,406.58 (19.18%)
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 54.9¢
11,612.6 份额
$6,559.98$179.55 (2.81%)
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Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 35.6¢
10,644.7 份额
$6,333.61$2,547.22 (67.27%)
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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 87¢
6,691.9 份额
$6,146.54$323.11 (5.55%)
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

No 93¢
5,438.6 份额
$5,193.91$135.97 (2.69%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 81¢
5,557.3 份额
$4,473.64-$27.79 (-0.62%)
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Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 78.9¢
4,802.1 份额
$3,757.63-$31.89 (-0.84%)
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 59.7¢
6,344.2 份额
$3,711.36-$78.72 (-2.08%)
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Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 78.6¢
4,119.2 份额
$3,645.48$407.35 (12.58%)
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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

No 93.3¢
3,599.7 份额
$3,477.27$117.51 (3.5%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Yes 87.5¢
3,367.8 份额
$3,098.34$150.92 (5.12%)
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Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 61.4¢
7,330.5 份额
$2,968.87-$1,529.07 (-33.99%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94.3¢
2,694.5 份额
$2,602.91$62.08 (2.44%)
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Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 94.4¢
2,696.1 份额
$2,595.01$50.45 (1.98%)
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Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 87.9¢
2,735.7 份额
$2,585.22$180.96 (7.53%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 84.2¢
2,591.0 份额
$2,269.73$86.85 (3.98%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Yes 65.4¢
2,497.5 份额
$2,235.29$600.78 (36.76%)
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

No 92.8¢
2,222.0 份额
$2,172.01$108.88 (5.28%)
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Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 70¢
2,520.2 份额
$1,751.25-$12.85 (-0.73%)
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 17.3¢
11,464.9 份额
$1,547.76-$435.53 (-21.96%)