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政治·主要

威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

曼德拉·巴恩斯 36%

弗朗西絲卡·洪 27.9%

薩拉·羅德里格斯 24%

大衛·克勞利 3.0%

Polymarket

$32,331 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯 36%

弗朗西絲卡·洪 27.9%

薩拉·羅德里格斯 24%

大衛·克勞利 3.0%

Polymarket

$32,331 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯

$7,475 交易量

36%

弗朗西絲卡·洪

$5,043 交易量

28%

薩拉·羅德里格斯

$5,615 交易量

24%

大衛·克勞利

$2,428 交易量

7%

Kelda Roys

$0 交易量

2%

Chris Larson

$8,374 交易量

1%

喬爾·布倫南

$1,893 交易量

1%

湯姆·尼爾森

$0 交易量

<1%

布雷特·霍爾西

$0 交易量

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$1,504 交易量

<1%

梅麗莎·阿加德

$0 交易量

<1%

Missy Hughes

$0 交易量

<1%

扎克瑞·羅珀

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 36% to win the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong at 28% and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 23.5%, reflecting his statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and national fundraising network despite trailing Hong in recent Marquette (14%-11%) and Patriot Polling (27%-18%) surveys amid 43-65% undecided voters. The race remains tightly contested in this crowded 12-candidate field due to low voter engagement five months out and fragmented support, with progressives boosting Hong's grassroots momentum while Barnes appeals to establishment donors. Separation could arise from key endorsements, Q1 fundraising disclosures, candidate forums, or consolidations as the primary nears.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$32,331
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 36% to win the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong at 28% and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 23.5%, reflecting his statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and national fundraising network despite trailing Hong in recent Marquette (14%-11%) and Patriot Polling (27%-18%) surveys amid 43-65% undecided voters. The race remains tightly contested in this crowded 12-candidate field due to low voter engagement five months out and fragmented support, with progressives boosting Hong's grassroots momentum while Barnes appeals to establishment donors. Separation could arise from key endorsements, Q1 fundraising disclosures, candidate forums, or consolidations as the primary nears.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$32,331
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "曼德拉·巴恩斯" at 36%, followed by "弗朗西絲卡·洪" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $32.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "曼德拉·巴恩斯" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "弗朗西絲卡·洪" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.