Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Netanyahu government's shift away from explicit sovereignty legislation despite de facto land measures. In February 2026, the security cabinet approved registering vast West Bank areas as state land—the first since 1967—and eased settler property acquisitions, prompting UN experts in March to decry accelerating settlement expansion and displacement as unlawful annexation tactics. However, Prime Minister Netanyahu dropped formal plans from the agenda in September 2025 amid U.S. opposition under President Trump and UAE pressure, with no Knesset bill advancing since an October preliminary vote. Ongoing Iran conflict focus and global rebukes from 85 nations further dampen prospects, though settler violence and Jordan Valley barriers signal creeping control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$50,107 交易量
$50,107 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$50,107 交易量
$50,107 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Netanyahu government's shift away from explicit sovereignty legislation despite de facto land measures. In February 2026, the security cabinet approved registering vast West Bank areas as state land—the first since 1967—and eased settler property acquisitions, prompting UN experts in March to decry accelerating settlement expansion and displacement as unlawful annexation tactics. However, Prime Minister Netanyahu dropped formal plans from the agenda in September 2025 amid U.S. opposition under President Trump and UAE pressure, with no Knesset bill advancing since an October preliminary vote. Ongoing Iran conflict focus and global rebukes from 85 nations further dampen prospects, though settler violence and Jordan Valley barriers signal creeping control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$50,107結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Netanyahu government's shift away from explicit sovereignty legislation despite de facto land measures. In February 2026, the security cabinet approved registering vast West Bank areas as state land—the first since 1967—and eased settler property acquisitions, prompting UN experts in March to decry accelerating settlement expansion and displacement as unlawful annexation tactics. However, Prime Minister Netanyahu dropped formal plans from the agenda in September 2025 amid U.S. opposition under President Trump and UAE pressure, with no Knesset bill advancing since an October preliminary vote. Ongoing Iran conflict focus and global rebukes from 85 nations further dampen prospects, though settler violence and Jordan Valley barriers signal creeping control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$50,107結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 87% implied probability against Israel formally annexing West Bank territory before 2027, driven by the Netanyahu government's shift away from explicit sovereignty legislation despite de facto land measures. In February 2026, the security cabinet approved registering vast West Bank areas as state land—the first since 1967—and eased settler property acquisitions, prompting UN experts in March to decry accelerating settlement expansion and displacement as unlawful annexation tactics. However, Prime Minister Netanyahu dropped formal plans from the agenda in September 2025 amid U.S. opposition under President Trump and UAE pressure, with no Knesset bill advancing since an October preliminary vote. Ongoing Iran conflict focus and global rebukes from 85 nations further dampen prospects, though settler violence and Jordan Valley barriers signal creeping control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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