Trader consensus on Polymarket for Donald Trump's 2026 foreign visits remains speculative, with low overall probabilities due to no official itinerary announced during his presidential transition. Primary drivers include campaign pledges for bilateral diplomacy on trade tariffs targeting Mexico and Canada, Ukraine-Russia peace talks, and Middle East deals, elevating implied odds for those nations amid recent nominee selections like Marco Rubio for State. Historical patterns from Trump's first term—prioritizing Saudi Arabia and Israel early—inform sentiment, alongside invitations from leaders like El Salvador's Bukele. Upcoming G20 summit in India and NATO meetings could catalyze shifts, but uncertainty dominates as schedules firm up post-inauguration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$127,100 交易量

英國
76%

以色列
64%

加拿大
37%

墨西哥
41%

沙烏地阿拉伯
46%

日本
54%

德國
64%

南韓
45%

法國
77%

俄羅斯
19%

烏克蘭
27%

台灣
5%

中國
92%

義大利
54%

阿曼
23%

印度
34%

白俄羅斯
14%

土耳其
75%

敘利亞
11%

北韓
14%

愛爾蘭
14%
$127,100 交易量

英國
76%

以色列
64%

加拿大
37%

墨西哥
41%

沙烏地阿拉伯
46%

日本
54%

德國
64%

南韓
45%

法國
77%

俄羅斯
19%

烏克蘭
27%

台灣
5%

中國
92%

義大利
54%

阿曼
23%

印度
34%

白俄羅斯
14%

土耳其
75%

敘利亞
11%

北韓
14%

愛爾蘭
14%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 11:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket for Donald Trump's 2026 foreign visits remains speculative, with low overall probabilities due to no official itinerary announced during his presidential transition. Primary drivers include campaign pledges for bilateral diplomacy on trade tariffs targeting Mexico and Canada, Ukraine-Russia peace talks, and Middle East deals, elevating implied odds for those nations amid recent nominee selections like Marco Rubio for State. Historical patterns from Trump's first term—prioritizing Saudi Arabia and Israel early—inform sentiment, alongside invitations from leaders like El Salvador's Bukele. Upcoming G20 summit in India and NATO meetings could catalyze shifts, but uncertainty dominates as schedules firm up post-inauguration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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