Trump's consistent daily posts on Truth Social, criticizing election integrity, legal cases, and Biden's policies, form the core driver of trader consensus for his weekly messaging, with implied probabilities favoring familiar themes like fraud claims over novel concessions. Recent catalysts include his March 27 fundraiser remarks reiterating border security urgency and March 28 court filings in the hush money case, reinforcing attack-mode rhetoric amid ongoing trials. No major rallies are scheduled this week, but spontaneous interviews or posts could shift odds; traders weigh his pattern of escalation during legal pressures against base-pleasing repetition, acknowledging rapid changes from breaking news.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$35,882 交易量
Make America Great Again
74%
Transgender
83%
Minnesota / Minneapolis
65%
Ass / Shit
40%
Epic Fury
73%
Fun
71%
Hottest
80%
Tiger
22%
Boeing
40%
Dark cloud
32%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
43%
Like a Rock
27%
Democrat Shutdown
50%
Kaitlan Collins
27%
Egg
58%
Gay
21%
Death Tax
51%
Eat our Lunch
22%
Ethanol
49%
Ballistic Missile
76%
UK / United Kingdom
71%
Regime Change
20%
Embargo
37%
Finish the Job
53%
Khamenei
23%
Rigged / Stolen
82%
Barack Hussein Obama
74%
Peanut
26%
Cookie
63%
Crypto / Bitcoin
35%
Chuck Norris
32%
Six Seven
22%
$35,882 交易量
Make America Great Again
74%
Transgender
83%
Minnesota / Minneapolis
65%
Ass / Shit
40%
Epic Fury
73%
Fun
71%
Hottest
80%
Tiger
22%
Boeing
40%
Dark cloud
32%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
43%
Like a Rock
27%
Democrat Shutdown
50%
Kaitlan Collins
27%
Egg
58%
Gay
21%
Death Tax
51%
Eat our Lunch
22%
Ethanol
49%
Ballistic Missile
76%
UK / United Kingdom
71%
Regime Change
20%
Embargo
37%
Finish the Job
53%
Khamenei
23%
Rigged / Stolen
82%
Barack Hussein Obama
74%
Peanut
26%
Cookie
63%
Crypto / Bitcoin
35%
Chuck Norris
32%
Six Seven
22%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's consistent daily posts on Truth Social, criticizing election integrity, legal cases, and Biden's policies, form the core driver of trader consensus for his weekly messaging, with implied probabilities favoring familiar themes like fraud claims over novel concessions. Recent catalysts include his March 27 fundraiser remarks reiterating border security urgency and March 28 court filings in the hush money case, reinforcing attack-mode rhetoric amid ongoing trials. No major rallies are scheduled this week, but spontaneous interviews or posts could shift odds; traders weigh his pattern of escalation during legal pressures against base-pleasing repetition, acknowledging rapid changes from breaking news.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions