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政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Ben McAdams 51%

內特·布盧因 47%

Brian King 1.0%

凱瑟琳·裡貝 1.0%

Polymarket

$20,019 交易量

Ben McAdams 51%

內特·布盧因 47%

Brian King 1.0%

凱瑟琳·裡貝 1.0%

Polymarket

$20,019 交易量

Ben McAdams

$5,749 交易量

51%

內特·布盧因

$2,111 交易量

47%

Brian King

$445 交易量

1%

凱瑟琳·裡貝

$719 交易量

1%

盧茲·艾斯卡米拉

$5,321 交易量

1%

珍妮·威爾森

$664 交易量

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,016 交易量

1%

卡羅琳·格萊奇

$493 交易量

<1%

Kael Weston

$502 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Data for Progress poll of likely Democratic primary voters in Utah's new 1st Congressional District shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading Nate Blouin 36%-23%, with 25% undecided and a ±5% margin of error, driving trader consensus to price McAdams slightly ahead at 51% implied probability amid his strong moderate support (70%) and name recognition from prior service. Blouin's progressive backing, including Bernie Sanders' endorsement and appeal to very liberal voters (38%), sustains his 46.5% odds in this closely contested race shaped by ideological splits. High undecideds and record caucus turnout signal volatility; separation could come from April 10 signature deadlines, the April 25 state convention for potential endorsements, new polls, or fundraising disclosures ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$20,019
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Data for Progress poll of likely Democratic primary voters in Utah's new 1st Congressional District shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading Nate Blouin 36%-23%, with 25% undecided and a ±5% margin of error, driving trader consensus to price McAdams slightly ahead at 51% implied probability amid his strong moderate support (70%) and name recognition from prior service. Blouin's progressive backing, including Bernie Sanders' endorsement and appeal to very liberal voters (38%), sustains his 46.5% odds in this closely contested race shaped by ideological splits. High undecideds and record caucus turnout signal volatility; separation could come from April 10 signature deadlines, the April 25 state convention for potential endorsements, new polls, or fundraising disclosures ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$20,019
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 51%, followed by "內特·布盧因" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $20K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Ben McAdams" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "內特·布盧因" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.