Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities marked by intensified airstrikes and proxy conflicts, the Trump administration transmitted a 15-point peace plan to Tehran on March 24, 2026, outlining terms for de-escalation, which Iranian state media critiqued while officials denied formal talks. Indirect communications persist through US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with German officials reporting preparations for a potential direct meeting in Pakistan as early as this week. Earlier February Oman-mediated sessions yielded no ceasefire, underscoring diplomatic fragility. Traders assess trader consensus on high-level diplomatic engagement—defined as in-person talks between officials—before market deadlines, amid risks of further military action or breakthroughs via multilateral channels like the UN.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$977,586 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
3月31日
6%
4月10日
20%
4月30日
46%
6月30日
78%
$977,586 交易量
3月31日
$621,759 交易量
6%
4月10日
$2,762 交易量
20%
4月30日
$90,604 交易量
46%
6月30日
$16,870 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities marked by intensified airstrikes and proxy conflicts, the Trump administration transmitted a 15-point peace plan to Tehran on March 24, 2026, outlining terms for de-escalation, which Iranian state media critiqued while officials denied formal talks. Indirect communications persist through US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with German officials reporting preparations for a potential direct meeting in Pakistan as early as this week. Earlier February Oman-mediated sessions yielded no ceasefire, underscoring diplomatic fragility. Traders assess trader consensus on high-level diplomatic engagement—defined as in-person talks between officials—before market deadlines, amid risks of further military action or breakthroughs via multilateral channels like the UN.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$977,586結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities marked by intensified airstrikes and proxy conflicts, the Trump administration transmitted a 15-point peace plan to Tehran on March 24, 2026, outlining terms for de-escalation, which Iranian state media critiqued while officials denied formal talks. Indirect communications persist through US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with German officials reporting preparations for a potential direct meeting in Pakistan as early as this week. Earlier February Oman-mediated sessions yielded no ceasefire, underscoring diplomatic fragility. Traders assess trader consensus on high-level diplomatic engagement—defined as in-person talks between officials—before market deadlines, amid risks of further military action or breakthroughs via multilateral channels like the UN.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$977,586結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran hostilities marked by intensified airstrikes and proxy conflicts, the Trump administration transmitted a 15-point peace plan to Tehran on March 24, 2026, outlining terms for de-escalation, which Iranian state media critiqued while officials denied formal talks. Indirect communications persist through US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, with German officials reporting preparations for a potential direct meeting in Pakistan as early as this week. Earlier February Oman-mediated sessions yielded no ceasefire, underscoring diplomatic fragility. Traders assess trader consensus on high-level diplomatic engagement—defined as in-person talks between officials—before market deadlines, amid risks of further military action or breakthroughs via multilateral channels like the UN.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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