Redistricting by the GOP-controlled Texas legislature shifted the 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat per the Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus favoring Republicans at 57.5% for the November general election winner. In the March 3 Republican primary, Jace Yarbrough finished first among nine candidates, securing the nomination after rival Ryan Binkley dropped out of the May 26 runoff on March 19. Democrats head to their May 26 runoff between former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred and state Rep. Julie Johnson, with no general election polling yet available amid low Democratic primary turnout. These dynamics underscore the GOP's structural edge in this Dallas-area battleground, though turnout and national trends could influence the closely contested odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
20%
共和黨
53%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主黨
$0 交易量
20%
共和黨
$0 交易量
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by the GOP-controlled Texas legislature shifted the 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat per the Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus favoring Republicans at 57.5% for the November general election winner. In the March 3 Republican primary, Jace Yarbrough finished first among nine candidates, securing the nomination after rival Ryan Binkley dropped out of the May 26 runoff on March 19. Democrats head to their May 26 runoff between former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred and state Rep. Julie Johnson, with no general election polling yet available amid low Democratic primary turnout. These dynamics underscore the GOP's structural edge in this Dallas-area battleground, though turnout and national trends could influence the closely contested odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by the GOP-controlled Texas legislature shifted the 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat per the Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus favoring Republicans at 57.5% for the November general election winner. In the March 3 Republican primary, Jace Yarbrough finished first among nine candidates, securing the nomination after rival Ryan Binkley dropped out of the May 26 runoff on March 19. Democrats head to their May 26 runoff between former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred and state Rep. Julie Johnson, with no general election polling yet available amid low Democratic primary turnout. These dynamics underscore the GOP's structural edge in this Dallas-area battleground, though turnout and national trends could influence the closely contested odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
Nov 4, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by the GOP-controlled Texas legislature shifted the 32nd Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat per the Cook Political Report, driving trader consensus favoring Republicans at 57.5% for the November general election winner. In the March 3 Republican primary, Jace Yarbrough finished first among nine candidates, securing the nomination after rival Ryan Binkley dropped out of the May 26 runoff on March 19. Democrats head to their May 26 runoff between former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred and state Rep. Julie Johnson, with no general election polling yet available amid low Democratic primary turnout. These dynamics underscore the GOP's structural edge in this Dallas-area battleground, though turnout and national trends could influence the closely contested odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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