Trump's landslide 2024 election victory, clinching 312 electoral votes and the popular vote, positions him securely as president-elect with inauguration set for January 20, 2025, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% against him exiting the presidency by June 30. The Electoral College cast votes on December 17 without disruption, congressional certification looms January 6 under Republican majorities, and cabinet nominations proceed despite some withdrawals like Matt Gaetz's, facing no systemic blocks amid GOP Senate control. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or viable impeachment paths have surfaced in recent weeks, rendering early removal historically unprecedented; only major scandals, legal reversals, or medical emergencies could alter this low-risk trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$1,550,802 交易量
$1,550,802 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$1,550,802 交易量
$1,550,802 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's landslide 2024 election victory, clinching 312 electoral votes and the popular vote, positions him securely as president-elect with inauguration set for January 20, 2025, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% against him exiting the presidency by June 30. The Electoral College cast votes on December 17 without disruption, congressional certification looms January 6 under Republican majorities, and cabinet nominations proceed despite some withdrawals like Matt Gaetz's, facing no systemic blocks amid GOP Senate control. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or viable impeachment paths have surfaced in recent weeks, rendering early removal historically unprecedented; only major scandals, legal reversals, or medical emergencies could alter this low-risk trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,550,802結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's landslide 2024 election victory, clinching 312 electoral votes and the popular vote, positions him securely as president-elect with inauguration set for January 20, 2025, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% against him exiting the presidency by June 30. The Electoral College cast votes on December 17 without disruption, congressional certification looms January 6 under Republican majorities, and cabinet nominations proceed despite some withdrawals like Matt Gaetz's, facing no systemic blocks amid GOP Senate control. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or viable impeachment paths have surfaced in recent weeks, rendering early removal historically unprecedented; only major scandals, legal reversals, or medical emergencies could alter this low-risk trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,550,802結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's landslide 2024 election victory, clinching 312 electoral votes and the popular vote, positions him securely as president-elect with inauguration set for January 20, 2025, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% against him exiting the presidency by June 30. The Electoral College cast votes on December 17 without disruption, congressional certification looms January 6 under Republican majorities, and cabinet nominations proceed despite some withdrawals like Matt Gaetz's, facing no systemic blocks amid GOP Senate control. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or viable impeachment paths have surfaced in recent weeks, rendering early removal historically unprecedented; only major scandals, legal reversals, or medical emergencies could alter this low-risk trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions