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科技·大型科技公司

SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？

Polymarket

$1,050,055 交易量

Polymarket

$1,050,055 交易量

>1兆美元

$257,377 交易量

95%

>1.2兆美元

$195,645 交易量

93%

>1.4兆美元

$87,344 交易量

91%

>1.6兆美元

$63,743 交易量

78%

>1.8兆美元

$48,918 交易量

66%

>2 兆美元

$138,109 交易量

49%

>2.2兆美元

$18,467 交易量

33%

>2.4兆美元

$53,991 交易量

28%

>3兆美元

$186,462 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering, reported this week, has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster debut potentially valuing the company above $1.75 trillion—the largest ever—driven by Starship's rapid reusability advances, including upcoming V3 flights in 4-6 weeks and plans for hourly launches within years. Starlink's satellite constellation dominance, delivering 119 birds per Falcon 9 mission, bolsters revenue projections amid minimal competition in heavy-lift orbital payload. Competitive pressures from China remain, but SpaceX's 98% market share forecast sustains premium pricing. Traders eye April investor briefings, full prospectus disclosure, and a possible July listing as key catalysts, though Musk's history of timeline shifts adds caution to valuation consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,050,055
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering, reported this week, has ignited trader optimism for a blockbuster debut potentially valuing the company above $1.75 trillion—the largest ever—driven by Starship's rapid reusability advances, including upcoming V3 flights in 4-6 weeks and plans for hourly launches within years. Starlink's satellite constellation dominance, delivering 119 birds per Falcon 9 mission, bolsters revenue projections amid minimal competition in heavy-lift orbital payload. Competitive pressures from China remain, but SpaceX's 98% market share forecast sustains premium pricing. Traders eye April investor briefings, full prospectus disclosure, and a possible July listing as key catalysts, though Musk's history of timeline shifts adds caution to valuation consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,050,055
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 11, 2025, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">1兆美元" at 95%, followed by ">1.2兆美元" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" is ">1兆美元" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">1.2兆美元" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO收市市值高於___ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.