Trader consensus slightly favors Juntos por el Perú (JP) to secure the most seats in Peru's new 60-seat Senate on April 12, amid recent Ipsos and Datum polls from late March showing top parties clustered at 7-15% in a fragmented field with 20-25% undecided voters and high blank ballot intentions driven by corruption scandals and surging crime rates. The tight race among JP, Renovación Popular (RP), and Fuerza Popular (FP) reflects proportional representation dynamics, a 5% national threshold, and mixed national-district voting allowing voto preferencial splits that amplify regional swings. Final debates' spillover from the concurrent presidential contest, turnout in Lima's four-senator district, or late scandals could widen leads before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於JP 33.1%
RP 29%
人民力量 24%
進步聯盟(APP) 6.4%
$14,539 交易量
$14,539 交易量

JP
33%

RP
24%

人民力量
24%

進步聯盟(APP)
6%

AvP
2%

PP
1%

PL
1%

SP
1%

AP
<1%
JP 33.1%
RP 29%
人民力量 24%
進步聯盟(APP) 6.4%
$14,539 交易量
$14,539 交易量

JP
33%

RP
24%

人民力量
24%

進步聯盟(APP)
6%

AvP
2%

PP
1%

PL
1%

SP
1%

AP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Juntos por el Perú (JP) to secure the most seats in Peru's new 60-seat Senate on April 12, amid recent Ipsos and Datum polls from late March showing top parties clustered at 7-15% in a fragmented field with 20-25% undecided voters and high blank ballot intentions driven by corruption scandals and surging crime rates. The tight race among JP, Renovación Popular (RP), and Fuerza Popular (FP) reflects proportional representation dynamics, a 5% national threshold, and mixed national-district voting allowing voto preferencial splits that amplify regional swings. Final debates' spillover from the concurrent presidential contest, turnout in Lima's four-senator district, or late scandals could widen leads before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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