Market icon
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 25%

藤森惠子 20%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 17.9%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 13.5%

Polymarket

$5,538,248 交易量

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 25%

藤森惠子 20%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 17.9%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 13.5%

Polymarket

$5,538,248 交易量

Market icon

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

$741,482 交易量

25%

Market icon

藤森惠子

$299,119 交易量

20%

Market icon

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$192,849 交易量

18%

Market icon

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$418,288 交易量

14%

Market icon

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$287,700 交易量

8%

Market icon

里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$285,868 交易量

6%

Market icon

喬治·涅托

$765,847 交易量

5%

Market icon

瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略

$247,905 交易量

2%

Market icon

Yonhy Lescano

$209,952 交易量

1%

Market icon

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$168,862 交易量

1%

Market icon

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$150,479 交易量

1%

Market icon

喬治·福賽斯

$148,205 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$397,803 交易量

<1%

Market icon

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$126,110 交易量

<1%

Market icon

馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$145,641 交易量

<1%

Market icon

費爾南多·奧利維拉

$119,589 交易量

<1%

Market icon

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$147,063 交易量

<1%

Market icon

羅貝托·奇亞布拉

$81,273 交易量

<1%

Market icon

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$170,481 交易量

<1%

Market icon

荷塞·盧納

$112,763 交易量

<1%

Market icon

荷西·威廉斯

$75,658 交易量

<1%

Market icon

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$110,437 交易量

<1%

Market icon

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩

$135,787 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's first-round presidential vote set for April 12 amid a record 35 candidates, trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 24.5% due to his recent poll leads, such as CIT's April survey showing him at 13% ahead of Keiko Fujimori's 11% and Carlos Álvarez's 6%, reflecting a rightward shift after eight presidents since 2018 and February's congressional ouster of the prior leader. High undecided rates (20-36% in Ipsos and Datum polls from late March) and fragmented support keep the top trio tightly matched, with no one nearing the 50% threshold for outright victory and a June runoff likely between the top two. Final televised debates concluded days ago without major shifts; separation could arise from regional turnout outside Lima, last-minute endorsements, or scandals targeting frontrunners.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$5,538,248
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's first-round presidential vote set for April 12 amid a record 35 candidates, trader consensus favors Rafael López Aliaga at 24.5% due to his recent poll leads, such as CIT's April survey showing him at 13% ahead of Keiko Fujimori's 11% and Carlos Álvarez's 6%, reflecting a rightward shift after eight presidents since 2018 and February's congressional ouster of the prior leader. High undecided rates (20-36% in Ipsos and Datum polls from late March) and fragmented support keep the top trio tightly matched, with no one nearing the 50% threshold for outright victory and a June runoff likely between the top two. Final televised debates concluded days ago without major shifts; separation could arise from regional turnout outside Lima, last-minute endorsements, or scandals targeting frontrunners.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$5,538,248
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 25%, followed by "藤森惠子" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" has generated $5.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "藤森惠子" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.