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政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

Chris Rabb 35.8%

Sharif Street 32%

阿拉·斯坦福 24.6%

摩根·塞法斯 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Rabb 35.8%

Sharif Street 32%

阿拉·斯坦福 24.6%

摩根·塞法斯 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Rabb

$0 交易量

38%

Sharif Street

$0 交易量

36%

阿拉·斯坦福

$0 交易量

28%

摩根·塞法斯

$0 交易量

4%

Robin Toldens

$0 交易量

3%

大衛·奧克斯曼

$0 交易量

2%

Gabriel Caceres

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest atop the field, with state Rep. Chris Rabb edging state Sen. Sharif Street (37.5% vs. 35%) and Dr. Ala Stanford at 29%, driven by recent Philadelphia progressive endorsements for Rabb on March 20 and a March 19 candidate forum highlighting policy pitches from the top four contenders before Dave Oxman's last-minute suspension narrowed the field. Lacking public polls, bettors weigh Street's early fundraising lead, Stanford's endorsement from Evans, and Rabb's outsider progressive profile in this deep-blue Philadelphia seat, where machine politics and grassroots mobilization could tip the May 19 ballot absent late-breaking developments like new surveys or major endorsements.

In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest atop the field, with state Rep. Chris Rabb edging state Sen. Sharif Street (37.5% vs. 35%) and Dr. Ala Stanford at 29%, driven by recent Philadelphia progressive endorsements for Rabb on March 20 and a March 19 candidate forum highlighting policy pitches from the top four contenders before Dave Oxman's last-minute suspension narrowed the field. Lacking public polls, bettors weigh Street's early fundraising lead, Stanford's endorsement from Evans, and Rabb's outsider progressive profile in this deep-blue Philadelphia seat, where machine politics and grassroots mobilization could tip the May 19 ballot absent late-breaking developments like new surveys or major endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest atop the field, with state Rep. Chris Rabb edging state Sen. Sharif Street (37.5% vs. 35%) and Dr. Ala Stanford at 29%, driven by recent Philadelphia progressive endorsements for Rabb on March 20 and a March 19 candidate forum highlighting policy pitches from the top four contenders before Dave Oxman's last-minute suspension narrowed the field. Lacking public polls, bettors weigh Street's early fundraising lead, Stanford's endorsement from Evans, and Rabb's outsider progressive profile in this deep-blue Philadelphia seat, where machine politics and grassroots mobilization could tip the May 19 ballot absent late-breaking developments like new surveys or major endorsements.

In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Dwight Evans, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest atop the field, with state Rep. Chris Rabb edging state Sen. Sharif Street (37.5% vs. 35%) and Dr. Ala Stanford at 29%, driven by recent Philadelphia progressive endorsements for Rabb on March 20 and a March 19 candidate forum highlighting policy pitches from the top four contenders before Dave Oxman's last-minute suspension narrowed the field. Lacking public polls, bettors weigh Street's early fundraising lead, Stanford's endorsement from Evans, and Rabb's outsider progressive profile in this deep-blue Philadelphia seat, where machine politics and grassroots mobilization could tip the May 19 ballot absent late-breaking developments like new surveys or major endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 38%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Chris Rabb" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.