奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2026-03-05T22:23:12.126Z
End: 2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z

政治·參議院初選

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

凱文·赫恩 82%

約翰·M·奧康納 1.8%

史蒂芬妮·拜斯 1.7%

Wayne Lonny Washington 1.6%

$10,847 交易量

Jun 16, 2026

凱文·赫恩

$8,863 交易量

82%

約翰·M·奧康納

$0 交易量

史蒂芬妮·拜斯

$1,984 交易量

Wayne Lonny Washington

$0 交易量

馬特·皮內爾

$0 交易量

馬克韋恩·穆林

$0 交易量

尼克·漢金斯

$0 交易量

Ron Meinhardt

$0 交易量

Tammy Swearengin

$0 交易量

Donelle Harder

$0 交易量

凱文·赫恩 82%

約翰·M·奧康納 1.8%

史蒂芬妮·拜斯 1.7%

Wayne Lonny Washington 1.6%

$10,847 交易量

Jun 16, 2026

凱文·赫恩

$8,863 交易量

82%

約翰·M·奧康納

$0 交易量

史蒂芬妮·拜斯

$1,984 交易量

Wayne Lonny Washington

$0 交易量

馬特·皮內爾

$0 交易量

馬克韋恩·穆林

$0 交易量

尼克·漢金斯

$0 交易量

Ron Meinhardt

$0 交易量

Tammy Swearengin

$0 交易量

Donelle Harder

$0 交易量

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by his incumbency advantage as a Tulsa-area congressman, robust fundraising from national GOP donors, and appeal to Trump-aligned conservatives seeking a primary challenge to vulnerable incumbent Sen. James Lankford. Lankford's standing remains weakened among the GOP base following backlash to his role in bipartisan border security negotiations earlier this year, with no recent polling shifts or announcements altering the landscape in the past 30 days. Other candidates like Rep. Stephanie Bice and Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell trail far behind due to lower name recognition and fundraising. Candidate filing deadlines loom in spring 2026 ahead of the June primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱文·赫恩" at 82%, followed by "約翰·M·奧康納" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "凱文·赫恩" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·M·奧康納" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $10.8K traded on “奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 82¢ for "凱文·赫恩" in the "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 82% chance that "凱文·赫恩" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 82¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 18¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

奧克拉荷馬州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論

頂級持倉者

持倉

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 82¢ for "凱文·赫恩" mean?

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