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選舉·哥倫比亞

PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？

Market icon
選舉·哥倫比亞

PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？

24-26 86.5%

27-29 3.8%

少於18 <1%

18-20 <1%

Polymarket

$89,647 交易量

24-26 86.5%

27-29 3.8%

少於18 <1%

18-20 <1%

Polymarket

$89,647 交易量

少於18

$15,082 交易量

<1%

18-20

$0 交易量

<1%

21-23

$0 交易量

<1%

24-26

$26,059 交易量

87%

27-29

$30,467 交易量

4%

30+

$18,039 交易量

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8 parliamentary elections showed the left-wing Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing approximately 22.8% of the Senate vote, projecting 25 seats and positioning it as the largest bloc ahead of right-wing Centro Democrático's 17. The National Electoral Council's escrutinio process, completed by late March, confirmed 25 curules for PH after scrutinizing domestic and overseas ballots, with no major recoveries or losses despite minor claims from other parties. This stability, amid a fragmented 108-seat Senate, drives trader consensus toward the 24-26 range at nearly 90%, reflecting PH's mobilization strength despite polarization and turnout around 50%. Final certification awaits, but no disputes threaten the count ahead of May presidential voting.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$89,647
結束日期
2026-03-08
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8 parliamentary elections showed the left-wing Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing approximately 22.8% of the Senate vote, projecting 25 seats and positioning it as the largest bloc ahead of right-wing Centro Democrático's 17. The National Electoral Council's escrutinio process, completed by late March, confirmed 25 curules for PH after scrutinizing domestic and overseas ballots, with no major recoveries or losses despite minor claims from other parties. This stability, amid a fragmented 108-seat Senate, drives trader consensus toward the 24-26 range at nearly 90%, reflecting PH's mobilization strength despite polarization and turnout around 50%. Final certification awaits, but no disputes threaten the count ahead of May presidential voting.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$89,647
結束日期
2026-03-08
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24-26" at 87%, followed by "30+" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？" has generated $89.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？" is "24-26" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30+" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PH在哥倫比亞參議院選舉中贏得的席位數？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.