Incumbent Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her Social Democrats' consistent poll lead—around 27-30% in recent surveys—and a stable minority government backed by supporting parties amid no snap election signals. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 6.7%, buoyed by the Moderates' centrist gains in polls nearing 10%, positioning him as a coalition wildcard given his prior premiership. Troels Lund Poulsen's 5.3% reflects Venstre's reliable opposition stance on economy and immigration. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as no-confidence votes or scandals, have shifted dynamics; upcoming budget votes and parliamentary sessions could test this equilibrium, though incumbency historically favors continuity in Denmark's flexible parliamentary system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於梅特·弗雷德里克森 85%
拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森 7.0%
特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森 5.2%
亞歷克斯·范奧普斯拉赫 <1%
$3,392,272 交易量
$3,392,272 交易量
Mar 24, 2026
梅特·弗雷德里克森
85%
拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森
7%
特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森
5%
亞歷克斯·范奧普斯拉赫
1%
莫娜·尤爾
1%
莫滕·梅塞施密特
<1%
拉斯·博耶·馬蒂森
<1%
英厄·斯托伊貝格
<1%
馬丁·利德高
<1%
Pia Olsen Dyhr
<1%
Pelle Dragsted
<1%
梅特·弗雷德里克森 85%
拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森 7.0%
特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森 5.2%
亞歷克斯·范奧普斯拉赫 <1%
$3,392,272 交易量
$3,392,272 交易量
Mar 24, 2026
梅特·弗雷德里克森
$896,602 交易量
85%
拉爾斯·勒克·拉斯穆森
$821,094 交易量
7%
特羅爾斯·倫·保爾森
$594,631 交易量
5%
亞歷克斯·范奧普斯拉赫
$595,942 交易量
1%
莫娜·尤爾
$80,261 交易量
1%
莫滕·梅塞施密特
$147,580 交易量
<1%
拉斯·博耶·馬蒂森
$73,740 交易量
<1%
英厄·斯托伊貝格
$0 交易量
<1%
馬丁·利德高
$29,058 交易量
<1%
Pia Olsen Dyhr
$111,669 交易量
<1%
Pelle Dragsted
$41,696 交易量
<1%
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
交易量
$3,392,272結束日期
Mar 24, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,392,272結束日期
Mar 24, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen commands overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her Social Democrats' consistent poll lead—around 27-30% in recent surveys—and a stable minority government backed by supporting parties amid no snap election signals. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 6.7%, buoyed by the Moderates' centrist gains in polls nearing 10%, positioning him as a coalition wildcard given his prior premiership. Troels Lund Poulsen's 5.3% reflects Venstre's reliable opposition stance on economy and immigration. No major developments in the past 30 days, such as no-confidence votes or scandals, have shifted dynamics; upcoming budget votes and parliamentary sessions could test this equilibrium, though incumbency historically favors continuity in Denmark's flexible parliamentary system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions