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政治·主要

新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Cinde Warmington 78%

湯姆·謝爾曼 5.8%

約翰·基帕 6%

迪格蘭·麥凱奇恩 3.6%

Polymarket

$21,186 交易量

Cinde Warmington 78%

湯姆·謝爾曼 5.8%

約翰·基帕 6%

迪格蘭·麥凱奇恩 3.6%

Polymarket

$21,186 交易量

Cinde Warmington

$8,397 交易量

76%

湯姆·謝爾曼

$1,693 交易量

6%

約翰·基帕

$2,203 交易量

6%

迪格蘭·麥凱奇恩

$8,101 交易量

4%

唐納文·芬頓

$791 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington commands 76.5% trader consensus to win New Hampshire's Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, fueled by her name recognition from a competitive 2024 primary run and service as the Democratic Executive Councilor opposing GOP policies. A March Saint Anselm College poll positioned her as the strongest Democratic general election contender against incumbent Gov. Kelly Ayotte, reinforcing her frontrunner status amid sparse primary polling. Challengers John Kiper, Tom Sherman (5.8%), Deaglan McEachern (3.5%), and Donovan Fenton lag with minimal fundraising or endorsements, facing barriers from Warmington's established profile. Official filing opens in June, leaving room for late developments to influence the open primary field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$21,186
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington commands 76.5% trader consensus to win New Hampshire's Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, fueled by her name recognition from a competitive 2024 primary run and service as the Democratic Executive Councilor opposing GOP policies. A March Saint Anselm College poll positioned her as the strongest Democratic general election contender against incumbent Gov. Kelly Ayotte, reinforcing her frontrunner status amid sparse primary polling. Challengers John Kiper, Tom Sherman (5.8%), Deaglan McEachern (3.5%), and Donovan Fenton lag with minimal fundraising or endorsements, facing barriers from Warmington's established profile. Official filing opens in June, leaving room for late developments to influence the open primary field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$21,186
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 76%, followed by "湯姆·謝爾曼" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $21.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Cinde Warmington" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "湯姆·謝爾曼" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新罕布什爾州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.