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政治·主要

密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

邁克·羅傑斯 91%

肯特·班納姆 4.9%

安德魯·卡馬爾 2.5%

Fred Heurtebise 1.9%

Polymarket
NEW

邁克·羅傑斯 91%

肯特·班納姆 4.9%

安德魯·卡馬爾 2.5%

Fred Heurtebise 1.9%

Polymarket
NEW

邁克·羅傑斯

$0 交易量

91%

肯特·班納姆

$0 交易量

5%

安德魯·卡馬爾

$0 交易量

3%

Fred Heurtebise

$0 交易量

2%

吉納維芙·斯科特

$0 交易量

1%

Bernadette Smith

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican U.S. Senate primary, with trader consensus implying a 91% probability of victory on August 4, driven by his Trump endorsement from mid-2025, National Republican Senatorial Committee support, and dominant showings in recent polling averages like those from Race to the White House as of late March. Superior fundraising and high name recognition from prior campaigns further cement his position against a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers including Kent Benham, Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith, who collectively hold slim odds. While entrenched, odds could shift via a late high-profile entrant, adverse scandal, or erosion in GOP primary voter enthusiasm ahead of the nomination.

Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican U.S. Senate primary, with trader consensus implying a 91% probability of victory on August 4, driven by his Trump endorsement from mid-2025, National Republican Senatorial Committee support, and dominant showings in recent polling averages like those from Race to the White House as of late March. Superior fundraising and high name recognition from prior campaigns further cement his position against a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers including Kent Benham, Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith, who collectively hold slim odds. While entrenched, odds could shift via a late high-profile entrant, adverse scandal, or erosion in GOP primary voter enthusiasm ahead of the nomination.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican U.S. Senate primary, with trader consensus implying a 91% probability of victory on August 4, driven by his Trump endorsement from mid-2025, National Republican Senatorial Committee support, and dominant showings in recent polling averages like those from Race to the White House as of late March. Superior fundraising and high name recognition from prior campaigns further cement his position against a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers including Kent Benham, Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith, who collectively hold slim odds. While entrenched, odds could shift via a late high-profile entrant, adverse scandal, or erosion in GOP primary voter enthusiasm ahead of the nomination.

Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican U.S. Senate primary, with trader consensus implying a 91% probability of victory on August 4, driven by his Trump endorsement from mid-2025, National Republican Senatorial Committee support, and dominant showings in recent polling averages like those from Race to the White House as of late March. Superior fundraising and high name recognition from prior campaigns further cement his position against a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers including Kent Benham, Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith, who collectively hold slim odds. While entrenched, odds could shift via a late high-profile entrant, adverse scandal, or erosion in GOP primary voter enthusiasm ahead of the nomination.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "邁克·羅傑斯" at 91%, followed by "肯特·班納姆" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 22, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "邁克·羅傑斯" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "肯特·班納姆" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.