State Sen. Mallory McMorrow leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary following a March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showing her at 30%—up from 20% last June—ahead of Abdul El-Sayed (25%) and Rep. Haley Stevens (23%), with 21% undecided likely voters. Among those identifying all three, McMorrow claims 42% to El-Sayed's 37% and Stevens' 16%, driven by her superior vote conversion and second-choice support, alongside Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement. El-Sayed's 33% reflects top favorability (+38), while Stevens lags at 14.5% amid rising unfavorables (+16 net). The open seat race remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於馬洛里·麥克莫羅 53%
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 33%
哈利·史蒂文斯 15%
Sarah Anthony <1%
$381,104 交易量
$381,104 交易量
馬洛里·麥克莫羅
53%
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德
33%
哈利·史蒂文斯
15%
Sarah Anthony
1%
達娜·奈塞爾
<1%
克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特
<1%
馬特·薩爾
<1%
拉希達·特萊比
<1%
安迪·萊文
<1%
馬洛里·麥克莫羅 53%
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 33%
哈利·史蒂文斯 15%
Sarah Anthony <1%
$381,104 交易量
$381,104 交易量
馬洛里·麥克莫羅
53%
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德
33%
哈利·史蒂文斯
15%
Sarah Anthony
1%
達娜·奈塞爾
<1%
克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特
<1%
馬特·薩爾
<1%
拉希達·特萊比
<1%
安迪·萊文
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Mallory McMorrow leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary following a March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showing her at 30%—up from 20% last June—ahead of Abdul El-Sayed (25%) and Rep. Haley Stevens (23%), with 21% undecided likely voters. Among those identifying all three, McMorrow claims 42% to El-Sayed's 37% and Stevens' 16%, driven by her superior vote conversion and second-choice support, alongside Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement. El-Sayed's 33% reflects top favorability (+38), while Stevens lags at 14.5% amid rising unfavorables (+16 net). The open seat race remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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