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密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon

密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

馬洛里·麥克莫羅 53%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 33%

哈利·史蒂文斯 15%

Sarah Anthony <1%

Polymarket

$381,104 交易量

馬洛里·麥克莫羅 53%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 33%

哈利·史蒂文斯 15%

Sarah Anthony <1%

Polymarket

$381,104 交易量

馬洛里·麥克莫羅

$28,739 交易量

53%

阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德

$83,783 交易量

33%

哈利·史蒂文斯

$20,312 交易量

15%

Sarah Anthony

$15,018 交易量

1%

達娜·奈塞爾

$15,699 交易量

<1%

克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特

$110,054 交易量

<1%

馬特·薩爾

$56,963 交易量

<1%

拉希達·特萊比

$33,092 交易量

<1%

安迪·萊文

$17,444 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mallory McMorrow leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary following a March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showing her at 30%—up from 20% last June—ahead of Abdul El-Sayed (25%) and Rep. Haley Stevens (23%), with 21% undecided likely voters. Among those identifying all three, McMorrow claims 42% to El-Sayed's 37% and Stevens' 16%, driven by her superior vote conversion and second-choice support, alongside Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement. El-Sayed's 33% reflects top favorability (+38), while Stevens lags at 14.5% amid rising unfavorables (+16 net). The open seat race remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$381,104
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Sen. Mallory McMorrow leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary following a March 19-22 Global Strategy Group poll showing her at 30%—up from 20% last June—ahead of Abdul El-Sayed (25%) and Rep. Haley Stevens (23%), with 21% undecided likely voters. Among those identifying all three, McMorrow claims 42% to El-Sayed's 37% and Stevens' 16%, driven by her superior vote conversion and second-choice support, alongside Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement. El-Sayed's 33% reflects top favorability (+38), while Stevens lags at 14.5% amid rising unfavorables (+16 net). The open seat race remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$381,104
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬洛里·麥克莫羅" at 53%, followed by "阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $381.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "馬洛里·麥克莫羅" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.