Recent polls, including aggregates from PolitPro and POLITICO Poll of Polls as of late March 2026, consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 5-5.5% support among decided voters, behind Tisza (48-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-41%), in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election under proportional representation requiring a 5% national threshold for list seats. This trader consensus at 95.5% reflects Mi Hazánk's steady capture of far-right protest votes disillusioned with Fidesz amid the opposition's fragmentation, as DK hovers at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-4%, and Momentum, LMP, MSZP, Párbeszéd, Jobbik, and TISZA allies below 1%. Challenges could arise from late left-wing vote consolidation, a Mi Hazánk scandal eroding support below 5%, or turnout dynamics favoring larger parties in the mixed single-member district system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 1.9%
雙尾狗黨（MKKP） 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$43,695 交易量
$43,695 交易量
2026-04-12
Mi Hazánk
96%
DK
2%
雙尾狗黨（MKKP）
1%
Momentum
1%
MSZP
1%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
LMP
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 1.9%
雙尾狗黨（MKKP） 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$43,695 交易量
$43,695 交易量
2026-04-12
Mi Hazánk
$32,809 交易量
96%
DK
$1,050 交易量
2%
雙尾狗黨（MKKP）
$842 交易量
1%
Momentum
$2,256 交易量
1%
MSZP
$970 交易量
1%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,421 交易量
<1%
Párbeszéd
$839 交易量
<1%
LMP
$1,683 交易量
<1%
TISZA
$854 交易量
<1%
Jobbik
$970 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls, including aggregates from PolitPro and POLITICO Poll of Polls as of late March 2026, consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 5-5.5% support among decided voters, behind Tisza (48-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-41%), in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election under proportional representation requiring a 5% national threshold for list seats. This trader consensus at 95.5% reflects Mi Hazánk's steady capture of far-right protest votes disillusioned with Fidesz amid the opposition's fragmentation, as DK hovers at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-4%, and Momentum, LMP, MSZP, Párbeszéd, Jobbik, and TISZA allies below 1%. Challenges could arise from late left-wing vote consolidation, a Mi Hazánk scandal eroding support below 5%, or turnout dynamics favoring larger parties in the mixed single-member district system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
市場開放時間： Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
交易量
$43,695結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls, including aggregates from PolitPro and POLITICO Poll of Polls as of late March 2026, consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 5-5.5% support among decided voters, behind Tisza (48-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-41%), in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election under proportional representation requiring a 5% national threshold for list seats. This trader consensus at 95.5% reflects Mi Hazánk's steady capture of far-right protest votes disillusioned with Fidesz amid the opposition's fragmentation, as DK hovers at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-4%, and Momentum, LMP, MSZP, Párbeszéd, Jobbik, and TISZA allies below 1%. Challenges could arise from late left-wing vote consolidation, a Mi Hazánk scandal eroding support below 5%, or turnout dynamics favoring larger parties in the mixed single-member district system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
交易量
$43,695結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including aggregates from PolitPro and POLITICO Poll of Polls as of late March 2026, consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 5-5.5% support among decided voters, behind Tisza (48-52%) and Fidesz-KDNP (39-41%), in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election under proportional representation requiring a 5% national threshold for list seats. This trader consensus at 95.5% reflects Mi Hazánk's steady capture of far-right protest votes disillusioned with Fidesz amid the opposition's fragmentation, as DK hovers at 2-3%, MKKP at 2-4%, and Momentum, LMP, MSZP, Párbeszéd, Jobbik, and TISZA allies below 1%. Challenges could arise from late left-wing vote consolidation, a Mi Hazánk scandal eroding support below 5%, or turnout dynamics favoring larger parties in the mixed single-member district system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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