Trader consensus prices exactly three countries struck by Israel in March at 78%, reflecting verified airstrikes in Gaza (Palestine) against Hamas targets throughout the month, intensified cross-border operations in Lebanon targeting Hezbollah amid ongoing rocket exchanges, and a major airstrike on March 28 near Damascus, Syria, hitting an airbase linked to Iranian forces. No confirmed Israeli military actions in additional countries like Yemen—despite Houthi missile barrages prompting later responses—or Iran, which saw retaliation only in April, keeps ≥4 odds at 22.5%. Markets hinge on precise resolution criteria for "strike" and sovereign "countries," with no new developments altering the March tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$274,581 交易量
$274,581 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3
80%
4 個或以上
18%
$274,581 交易量
$274,581 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3
$73,690 交易量
80%
4 個或以上
$171,705 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices exactly three countries struck by Israel in March at 78%, reflecting verified airstrikes in Gaza (Palestine) against Hamas targets throughout the month, intensified cross-border operations in Lebanon targeting Hezbollah amid ongoing rocket exchanges, and a major airstrike on March 28 near Damascus, Syria, hitting an airbase linked to Iranian forces. No confirmed Israeli military actions in additional countries like Yemen—despite Houthi missile barrages prompting later responses—or Iran, which saw retaliation only in April, keeps ≥4 odds at 22.5%. Markets hinge on precise resolution criteria for "strike" and sovereign "countries," with no new developments altering the March tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
交易量
$274,581結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices exactly three countries struck by Israel in March at 78%, reflecting verified airstrikes in Gaza (Palestine) against Hamas targets throughout the month, intensified cross-border operations in Lebanon targeting Hezbollah amid ongoing rocket exchanges, and a major airstrike on March 28 near Damascus, Syria, hitting an airbase linked to Iranian forces. No confirmed Israeli military actions in additional countries like Yemen—despite Houthi missile barrages prompting later responses—or Iran, which saw retaliation only in April, keeps ≥4 odds at 22.5%. Markets hinge on precise resolution criteria for "strike" and sovereign "countries," with no new developments altering the March tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$274,581結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices exactly three countries struck by Israel in March at 78%, reflecting verified airstrikes in Gaza (Palestine) against Hamas targets throughout the month, intensified cross-border operations in Lebanon targeting Hezbollah amid ongoing rocket exchanges, and a major airstrike on March 28 near Damascus, Syria, hitting an airbase linked to Iranian forces. No confirmed Israeli military actions in additional countries like Yemen—despite Houthi missile barrages prompting later responses—or Iran, which saw retaliation only in April, keeps ≥4 odds at 22.5%. Markets hinge on precise resolution criteria for "strike" and sovereign "countries," with no new developments altering the March tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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