Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (28.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%), mirroring ensemble forecast models like ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration projections for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's high temperature on April 6. Following a cool frontal passage on April 3 that capped highs at 16-17°C amid rain and clouds, temperatures rebounded with today's overcast forecast reaching 25°C; however, a northerly wind shift and persistent partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and midday insolation—ECMWF favors prolonged cloudiness for 23°C, while GFS anticipates brighter skies edging toward 24°C. New 12z model runs and afternoon observations today could tip the balance ahead of resolution based on Wunderground data to the nearest whole degree.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
24°C 30%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
26°C 9%
$34,477 交易量
$34,477 交易量
2026-04-06
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
30%
25°C
15%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 30%
23°C 29%
25°C 15%
26°C 9%
$34,477 交易量
$34,477 交易量
2026-04-06
17°C or below
$7,943 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,113 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,983 交易量
1%
20°C
$2,286 交易量
4%
21°C
$3,006 交易量
9%
22°C
$3,619 交易量
8%
23°C
$1,973 交易量
29%
24°C
$2,879 交易量
30%
25°C
$1,260 交易量
15%
26°C
$2,235 交易量
9%
27°C or higher
$4,573 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (28.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%), mirroring ensemble forecast models like ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration projections for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's high temperature on April 6. Following a cool frontal passage on April 3 that capped highs at 16-17°C amid rain and clouds, temperatures rebounded with today's overcast forecast reaching 25°C; however, a northerly wind shift and persistent partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and midday insolation—ECMWF favors prolonged cloudiness for 23°C, while GFS anticipates brighter skies edging toward 24°C. New 12z model runs and afternoon observations today could tip the balance ahead of resolution based on Wunderground data to the nearest whole degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$34,477結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (28.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%), mirroring ensemble forecast models like ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration projections for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's high temperature on April 6. Following a cool frontal passage on April 3 that capped highs at 16-17°C amid rain and clouds, temperatures rebounded with today's overcast forecast reaching 25°C; however, a northerly wind shift and persistent partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and midday insolation—ECMWF favors prolonged cloudiness for 23°C, while GFS anticipates brighter skies edging toward 24°C. New 12z model runs and afternoon observations today could tip the balance ahead of resolution based on Wunderground data to the nearest whole degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$34,477結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (28.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%), mirroring ensemble forecast models like ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration projections for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's high temperature on April 6. Following a cool frontal passage on April 3 that capped highs at 16-17°C amid rain and clouds, temperatures rebounded with today's overcast forecast reaching 25°C; however, a northerly wind shift and persistent partial cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include model variances in boundary layer mixing and midday insolation—ECMWF favors prolonged cloudiness for 23°C, while GFS anticipates brighter skies edging toward 24°C. New 12z model runs and afternoon observations today could tip the balance ahead of resolution based on Wunderground data to the nearest whole degree.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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