Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event model consensus from KMA forecasts predicting daytime highs around 14°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula, cooler than Seoul's urban center readings near 17°C influenced by the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified observational data, with final daily summaries now published. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control audits, though KMA records are highly reliable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$428,681 交易量
$428,681 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$428,681 交易量
$428,681 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport Station—the market's official resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 14°C amid mostly cloudy skies and moderate northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event model consensus from KMA forecasts predicting daytime highs around 14°C due to a lingering cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula, cooler than Seoul's urban center readings near 17°C influenced by the urban heat island effect. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified observational data, with final daily summaries now published. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from instrument recalibration or quality control audits, though KMA records are highly reliable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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