National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's official climatological station, recorded a maximum temperature of 52°F on March 29, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to price the 52-53°F outcome at a 100% implied probability with overwhelming consensus. This aligns with late-March climatological norms around 55°F highs, following a cooldown from record warmth earlier in the month—such as 80°F on March 10—amid shifting upper-level patterns and cooler air masses. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on mid-50s peaks before the event, with minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from the NWS, as preliminary airport readings corroborated the Central Park measurement, solidifying resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$300,078 交易量
$300,078 交易量
2026-03-29
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$300,078 交易量
$300,078 交易量
2026-03-29
47°F or below
$39,065 交易量
No
48-49°F
$22,239 交易量
No
50-51°F
$39,973 交易量
No
52-53°F
$73,647 交易量
Yes
54-55°F
$45,255 交易量
No
56-57°F
$23,989 交易量
No
58-59°F
$16,300 交易量
No
60-61°F
$10,835 交易量
No
62-63°F
$10,275 交易量
No
64-65°F
$9,071 交易量
No
66°F or higher
$9,429 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's official climatological station, recorded a maximum temperature of 52°F on March 29, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to price the 52-53°F outcome at a 100% implied probability with overwhelming consensus. This aligns with late-March climatological norms around 55°F highs, following a cooldown from record warmth earlier in the month—such as 80°F on March 10—amid shifting upper-level patterns and cooler air masses. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on mid-50s peaks before the event, with minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from the NWS, as preliminary airport readings corroborated the Central Park measurement, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$300,078結束日期
2026-03-29市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's official climatological station, recorded a maximum temperature of 52°F on March 29, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to price the 52-53°F outcome at a 100% implied probability with overwhelming consensus. This aligns with late-March climatological norms around 55°F highs, following a cooldown from record warmth earlier in the month—such as 80°F on March 10—amid shifting upper-level patterns and cooler air masses. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on mid-50s peaks before the event, with minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from the NWS, as preliminary airport readings corroborated the Central Park measurement, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$300,078結束日期
2026-03-29市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's official climatological station, recorded a maximum temperature of 52°F on March 29, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to price the 52-53°F outcome at a 100% implied probability with overwhelming consensus. This aligns with late-March climatological norms around 55°F highs, following a cooldown from record warmth earlier in the month—such as 80°F on March 10—amid shifting upper-level patterns and cooler air masses. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on mid-50s peaks before the event, with minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from the NWS, as preliminary airport readings corroborated the Central Park measurement, solidifying resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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