Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 64-65°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the official recorded maximum of 65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, as sourced from Weather Underground's NOAA-integrated data finalized overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations of partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a cool Canadian air mass capping highs slightly above the 57°F Central Park climatological normal. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on mid-60s peaks with minimal spread, reflecting stable barometric pressure and low moisture. Realistic challenges, such as post-audit data revisions from automated surface observing system quality control, are exceedingly rare for resolved daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F or below 5.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$352,478 交易量
$352,478 交易量
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F or below 5.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$352,478 交易量
$352,478 交易量
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 64-65°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the official recorded maximum of 65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, as sourced from Weather Underground's NOAA-integrated data finalized overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations of partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a cool Canadian air mass capping highs slightly above the 57°F Central Park climatological normal. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on mid-60s peaks with minimal spread, reflecting stable barometric pressure and low moisture. Realistic challenges, such as post-audit data revisions from automated surface observing system quality control, are exceedingly rare for resolved daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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