Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (26.5%) and 50-51°F (24.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles amid persistent northwest flow following a cold frontal passage around April 2-3 that introduced cooler Canadian air. This setup favors highs in the low 50s under partly cloudy skies, with minor differences arising from diurnal heating potential, urban heat island effects, and exact timing of lingering clouds—key variables in 3-day forecasts where ensemble spreads remain narrow at 2-3°F. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall, but transient troughing overrides for now; monitor 12z model runs and NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution using Central Park observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 7?
52-53°F 28%
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 17%
54-55°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
3%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
17%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
2%
60°F or higher
5%
52-53°F 28%
50-51°F 24%
48-49°F 17%
54-55°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
41°F or below
$2,514 交易量
1%
42-43°F
$401 交易量
1%
44-45°F
$332 交易量
3%
46-47°F
$224 交易量
8%
48-49°F
$216 交易量
17%
50-51°F
$298 交易量
24%
52-53°F
$406 交易量
28%
54-55°F
$159 交易量
16%
56-57°F
$217 交易量
11%
58-59°F
$367 交易量
2%
60°F or higher
$803 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (26.5%) and 50-51°F (24.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles amid persistent northwest flow following a cold frontal passage around April 2-3 that introduced cooler Canadian air. This setup favors highs in the low 50s under partly cloudy skies, with minor differences arising from diurnal heating potential, urban heat island effects, and exact timing of lingering clouds—key variables in 3-day forecasts where ensemble spreads remain narrow at 2-3°F. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall, but transient troughing overrides for now; monitor 12z model runs and NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution using Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,938結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (26.5%) and 50-51°F (24.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles amid persistent northwest flow following a cold frontal passage around April 2-3 that introduced cooler Canadian air. This setup favors highs in the low 50s under partly cloudy skies, with minor differences arising from diurnal heating potential, urban heat island effects, and exact timing of lingering clouds—key variables in 3-day forecasts where ensemble spreads remain narrow at 2-3°F. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall, but transient troughing overrides for now; monitor 12z model runs and NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution using Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,938結束日期
2026-04-07市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (26.5%) and 50-51°F (24.0%) for New York City's highest temperature on April 7, reflecting tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles amid persistent northwest flow following a cold frontal passage around April 2-3 that introduced cooler Canadian air. This setup favors highs in the low 50s under partly cloudy skies, with minor differences arising from diurnal heating potential, urban heat island effects, and exact timing of lingering clouds—key variables in 3-day forecasts where ensemble spreads remain narrow at 2-3°F. NOAA's spring 2026 outlook signals above-normal temperatures overall, but transient troughing overrides for now; monitor 12z model runs and NWS updates for shifts ahead of resolution using Central Park observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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