Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow Airport—the standard reference station for such markets—recorded a maximum temperature of 11°C on March 28, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cool northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and limited solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF models, which converged on a 10–11°C range due to a blocking high-pressure system steering chilly air masses southward. Late March climatology supports this, with historical Heathrow averages near 11°C, though occasional warm anomalies occur. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare data revisions from quality-controlled measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月28日倫敦的最高溫度?
3月28日倫敦的最高溫度?
11°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$308,005 交易量
$308,005 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或以上
否
11°C 100.0%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$308,005 交易量
$308,005 交易量
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official Met Office observations from London Heathrow Airport—the standard reference station for such markets—recorded a maximum temperature of 11°C on March 28, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cool northerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and limited solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast ensembles from the Met Office and ECMWF models, which converged on a 10–11°C range due to a blocking high-pressure system steering chilly air masses southward. Late March climatology supports this, with historical Heathrow averages near 11°C, though occasional warm anomalies occur. Realistic challenges are negligible post-resolution, barring rare data revisions from quality-controlled measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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