Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 74-75°F in Dallas on April 4 (94.7% implied probability), aligned with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing model consensus for daytime highs in this range amid a cold front's passage. This front, noted in the NWS Fort Worth/Dallas Area Forecast Discussion issued early April 4, introduces widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and north-northeasterly winds gusting 10-20 mph, sharply capping solar insolation after a record-warm March averaging 67.6°F. Historical April normals hover near 77°F, but current atmospheric conditions—elevated cloud decks and frontal boundary—suppress warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected frontal stalling farther north, allowing partial clearing and potential rises to 76-79°F; hourly observations from DFW stations will refine this as the afternoon peak nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 4?
74-75°F 95.1%
76-77°F 3.4%
78-79°F 2.8%
86°F or higher <1%
$113,488 交易量
$113,488 交易量
74-75°F
95%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 95.1%
76-77°F 3.4%
78-79°F 2.8%
86°F or higher <1%
$113,488 交易量
$113,488 交易量
74-75°F
95%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 74-75°F in Dallas on April 4 (94.7% implied probability), aligned with the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance showing model consensus for daytime highs in this range amid a cold front's passage. This front, noted in the NWS Fort Worth/Dallas Area Forecast Discussion issued early April 4, introduces widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and north-northeasterly winds gusting 10-20 mph, sharply capping solar insolation after a record-warm March averaging 67.6°F. Historical April normals hover near 77°F, but current atmospheric conditions—elevated cloud decks and frontal boundary—suppress warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected frontal stalling farther north, allowing partial clearing and potential rises to 76-79°F; hourly observations from DFW stations will refine this as the afternoon peak nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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