Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4, with the China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projecting a daytime high near 23°C under partly cloudy skies at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, slightly favoring that outcome at 23.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a 21-26°C spread, driven by variable cloud cover from lingering frontal systems, light northerly winds, and early spring warmup in the Yangtze River Basin where historical early-April maxima average 20-22°C. Key differentiators include potential for hazy sunshine boosting peaks toward 25°C or residual showers capping at 21°C; daily CMA updates through April 3 will clarify steering patterns and insolation ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 4?
23°C 21%
26°C 19%
24°C 16%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
21°C or below
16%
22°C
12%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
21%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
23°C 21%
26°C 19%
24°C 16%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
21°C or below
$176 交易量
16%
22°C
$95 交易量
12%
23°C
$101 交易量
20%
24°C
$95 交易量
22%
25°C
$74 交易量
21%
26°C
$81 交易量
18%
27°C
$87 交易量
10%
28°C
$197 交易量
7%
29°C
$106 交易量
6%
30°C
$83 交易量
6%
31°C or higher
$176 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4, with the China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projecting a daytime high near 23°C under partly cloudy skies at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, slightly favoring that outcome at 23.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a 21-26°C spread, driven by variable cloud cover from lingering frontal systems, light northerly winds, and early spring warmup in the Yangtze River Basin where historical early-April maxima average 20-22°C. Key differentiators include potential for hazy sunshine boosting peaks toward 25°C or residual showers capping at 21°C; daily CMA updates through April 3 will clarify steering patterns and insolation ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,269結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4, with the China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projecting a daytime high near 23°C under partly cloudy skies at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, slightly favoring that outcome at 23.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a 21-26°C spread, driven by variable cloud cover from lingering frontal systems, light northerly winds, and early spring warmup in the Yangtze River Basin where historical early-April maxima average 20-22°C. Key differentiators include potential for hazy sunshine boosting peaks toward 25°C or residual showers capping at 21°C; daily CMA updates through April 3 will clarify steering patterns and insolation ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,269結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 4, with the China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projecting a daytime high near 23°C under partly cloudy skies at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, slightly favoring that outcome at 23.5% implied probability. Ensemble model runs from global systems like ECMWF and GFS show a 21-26°C spread, driven by variable cloud cover from lingering frontal systems, light northerly winds, and early spring warmup in the Yangtze River Basin where historical early-April maxima average 20-22°C. Key differentiators include potential for hazy sunshine boosting peaks toward 25°C or residual showers capping at 21°C; daily CMA updates through April 3 will clarify steering patterns and insolation ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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