Woo Sang-ho's commanding 86% implied probability in the June 3, 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election reflects trader consensus on his sustained polling lead over incumbent Kim Jin-tae of the People Power Party, with multiple February and March surveys—such as MBC's 45% to 31% and others showing gaps up to 23 points—favoring the Democratic Party of Korea challenger amid national opposition momentum in local races. Recent high-level DPK support, including party leader Jung Chung-rae's April 1 visit pledging infrastructure acceleration like the Pocheon-Cheorwon expressway, has bolstered Woo's campaign to reclaim the conservative-leaning province. Kim trails at 13.5% despite single nomination, facing criticism over past governance; minor candidates hold negligible shares, while late developments like scandals or turnout shifts could narrow the race two months out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於禹相浩 86%
金鎮台 14%
李光宰 <1%
金完燮 <1%
$334,712 交易量
$334,712 交易量
金鎮台
14%
金完燮
<1%
李哲圭
<1%
權性東
<1%
禹相浩
86%
金度均
<1%
李光宰
<1%
宋基憲
<1%
元昌默
<1%
禹相浩 86%
金鎮台 14%
李光宰 <1%
金完燮 <1%
$334,712 交易量
$334,712 交易量
金鎮台
14%
金完燮
<1%
李哲圭
<1%
權性東
<1%
禹相浩
86%
金度均
<1%
李光宰
<1%
宋基憲
<1%
元昌默
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市場開放時間: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Woo Sang-ho's commanding 86% implied probability in the June 3, 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election reflects trader consensus on his sustained polling lead over incumbent Kim Jin-tae of the People Power Party, with multiple February and March surveys—such as MBC's 45% to 31% and others showing gaps up to 23 points—favoring the Democratic Party of Korea challenger amid national opposition momentum in local races. Recent high-level DPK support, including party leader Jung Chung-rae's April 1 visit pledging infrastructure acceleration like the Pocheon-Cheorwon expressway, has bolstered Woo's campaign to reclaim the conservative-leaning province. Kim trails at 13.5% despite single nomination, facing criticism over past governance; minor candidates hold negligible shares, while late developments like scandals or turnout shifts could narrow the race two months out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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