Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 240-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, with 240-259 tweets leading at 34.3% implied probability and 260-279 close behind at 28%, reflecting his steady high-volume posting rhythm as X's owner and pop culture provocateur. This clustering stems from the period's early days (through April 1) tracking his baseline of 25-35 daily tweets, fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and political commentary without major spikes in the past 48 hours. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekend variance—potential surges from viral moments, earnings previews, or government efficiency posts (DOGE-related buzz) could push toward 280+, while quieter periods favor the lower band. Absent confirmed catalysts, the skin-in-the-game crowd bets on historical patterns amid entertainment-like unpredictability in Musk's social media cadence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於240-259 34.0%
260-279 28%
220-239 14.8%
280-299 12%
$14,737,750 交易量
$14,737,750 交易量
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
3%
220-239
15%
240-259
34%
260-279
28%
280-299
12%
300-319
4%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 34.0%
260-279 28%
220-239 14.8%
280-299 12%
$14,737,750 交易量
$14,737,750 交易量
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
3%
220-239
15%
240-259
34%
260-279
28%
280-299
12%
300-319
4%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 240-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, with 240-259 tweets leading at 34.3% implied probability and 260-279 close behind at 28%, reflecting his steady high-volume posting rhythm as X's owner and pop culture provocateur. This clustering stems from the period's early days (through April 1) tracking his baseline of 25-35 daily tweets, fueled by routine updates on Tesla, SpaceX, and political commentary without major spikes in the past 48 hours. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekend variance—potential surges from viral moments, earnings previews, or government efficiency posts (DOGE-related buzz) could push toward 280+, while quieter periods favor the lower band. Absent confirmed catalysts, the skin-in-the-game crowd bets on historical patterns amid entertainment-like unpredictability in Musk's social media cadence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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