Trader consensus favors DISY with a 55.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, driven by recent opinion polls showing the center-right party holding a slim edge over AKEL at around 22% vote intention each. February and March surveys from Explorer, RAI Consultants, and CyBC depict a neck-and-neck race amid high undecided voters—up to 30%—and fragmentation, with ELAM polling third at 15-16%, rising ALMA at 10-12%, and DIKO at 8-9%. Under proportional representation across six districts, this volatility benefits DISY's organizational strengths, though AKEL's 37.5% pricing reflects competitive polling averages and potential coalition dynamics post-election. No major shifts in the past week, but final undecideds and turnout could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於DISY 55%
AKEL 38%
ELAM 3.3%
DIPA 2.6%
DISY
55%
AKEL
38%
ELAM
3%
DIPA
3%
EDEK
2%
DIKO
2%
KOSP
2%
VOLT
2%
DNM(DEK)
1%
DISY 55%
AKEL 38%
ELAM 3.3%
DIPA 2.6%
DISY
55%
AKEL
38%
ELAM
3%
DIPA
3%
EDEK
2%
DIKO
2%
KOSP
2%
VOLT
2%
DNM(DEK)
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
市場開放時間: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors DISY with a 55.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, driven by recent opinion polls showing the center-right party holding a slim edge over AKEL at around 22% vote intention each. February and March surveys from Explorer, RAI Consultants, and CyBC depict a neck-and-neck race amid high undecided voters—up to 30%—and fragmentation, with ELAM polling third at 15-16%, rising ALMA at 10-12%, and DIKO at 8-9%. Under proportional representation across six districts, this volatility benefits DISY's organizational strengths, though AKEL's 37.5% pricing reflects competitive polling averages and potential coalition dynamics post-election. No major shifts in the past week, but final undecideds and turnout could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions