Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 75.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his lead in Democratic Party of Korea primary polls and the ongoing runoff against Noh Yeong-min that began April 2, reflecting 70% general voter weighting. Recent disputes over endorsements from eliminated primary candidate Song Ki-sub have bolstered Shin's momentum among party supporters. People Power Party turmoil—incumbent Kim Young-hwan's March 15 nomination cutoff suspended by court injunction on March 31, followed by his April 1 demand for reinstatement or independent run—has weakened opposition prospects, positioning lower-odds challengers like Song Ki-sub (7.9%) and others amid unresolved conservative primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於申永漢 76%
盧英敏 14%
宋基燮 8.0%
趙吉亨 3.5%
$16,492 交易量
$16,492 交易量
申永漢
76%
盧英敏
14%
宋基燮
8%
趙吉亨
3%
金永煥
3%
都鍾煥
2%
李鍾培
2%
尹熙根
1%
申永漢 76%
盧英敏 14%
宋基燮 8.0%
趙吉亨 3.5%
$16,492 交易量
$16,492 交易量
申永漢
76%
盧英敏
14%
宋基燮
8%
趙吉亨
3%
金永煥
3%
都鍾煥
2%
李鍾培
2%
尹熙根
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市場開放時間: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 75.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driven by his lead in Democratic Party of Korea primary polls and the ongoing runoff against Noh Yeong-min that began April 2, reflecting 70% general voter weighting. Recent disputes over endorsements from eliminated primary candidate Song Ki-sub have bolstered Shin's momentum among party supporters. People Power Party turmoil—incumbent Kim Young-hwan's March 15 nomination cutoff suspended by court injunction on March 31, followed by his April 1 demand for reinstatement or independent run—has weakened opposition prospects, positioning lower-odds challengers like Song Ki-sub (7.9%) and others amid unresolved conservative primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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