Recent opinion polls, including Matrize-IANS and News18-Vote Vibe surveys from the past two weeks, project a BJP-led NDA landslide with 80-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold, bolstering trader consensus on BJP's commanding position ahead of the April 9 single-phase election. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval, driven by ongoing eviction drives, border security measures, and development initiatives, has solidified NDA vote share among key demographics despite opposition focus on infiltration and identity issues. Nomination scrutiny concluded last week with BJP fielding strong candidates via alliances like AGP, while Congress struggles with fragmented coalitions. Potential challenges include a late opposition consolidation, turnout drops in BJP strongholds, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor continuity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於印度人民黨（BJP） 92%
印度國民大會黨（INC） 4.0%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP） 1.7%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF） 1.4%
NEW
NEW
May 20, 2026
印度人民黨（BJP）
92%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
4%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）
2%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）
1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
1%
NPEP
1%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)
1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
1%
全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）
<1%
印度人民黨（BJP） 92%
印度國民大會黨（INC） 4.0%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP） 1.7%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF） 1.4%
NEW
NEW
May 20, 2026
印度人民黨（BJP）
$2,005 交易量
92%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
$1,246 交易量
4%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）
$612 交易量
2%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）
$1,025 交易量
1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
$739 交易量
1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
$683 交易量
1%
NPEP
$877 交易量
1%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)
$768 交易量
1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
$828 交易量
1%
全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）
$912 交易量
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Recent opinion polls, including Matrize-IANS and News18-Vote Vibe surveys from the past two weeks, project a BJP-led NDA landslide with 80-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold, bolstering trader consensus on BJP's commanding position ahead of the April 9 single-phase election. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval, driven by ongoing eviction drives, border security measures, and development initiatives, has solidified NDA vote share among key demographics despite opposition focus on infiltration and identity issues. Nomination scrutiny concluded last week with BJP fielding strong candidates via alliances like AGP, while Congress struggles with fragmented coalitions. Potential challenges include a late opposition consolidation, turnout drops in BJP strongholds, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor continuity.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
交易量
$9,694結束日期
Apr 9, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Recent opinion polls, including Matrize-IANS and News18-Vote Vibe surveys from the past two weeks, project a BJP-led NDA landslide with 80-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold, bolstering trader consensus on BJP's commanding position ahead of the April 9 single-phase election. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval, driven by ongoing eviction drives, border security measures, and development initiatives, has solidified NDA vote share among key demographics despite opposition focus on infiltration and identity issues. Nomination scrutiny concluded last week with BJP fielding strong candidates via alliances like AGP, while Congress struggles with fragmented coalitions. Potential challenges include a late opposition consolidation, turnout drops in BJP strongholds, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor continuity.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$9,694結束日期
Apr 9, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including Matrize-IANS and News18-Vote Vibe surveys from the past two weeks, project a BJP-led NDA landslide with 80-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, far exceeding the 64-seat majority threshold, bolstering trader consensus on BJP's commanding position ahead of the April 9 single-phase election. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval, driven by ongoing eviction drives, border security measures, and development initiatives, has solidified NDA vote share among key demographics despite opposition focus on infiltration and identity issues. Nomination scrutiny concluded last week with BJP fielding strong candidates via alliances like AGP, while Congress struggles with fragmented coalitions. Potential challenges include a late opposition consolidation, turnout drops in BJP strongholds, or unforeseen scandals, though structural advantages favor continuity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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