Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's uncontested primary victory on March 3 solidified his nomination in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP at 93.5%. Crawford boasts over $1 million in cash on hand and a history of dominant wins, including 73% in 2024, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in this reliably red battleground covering eastern Arkansas. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but the November 3 general election could see shifts from a Crawford scandal, national Democratic wave, or unexpected Green momentum via fundraising or endorsements. Libertarian Steve Parsons adds a minor third option.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$15,106 交易量
$15,106 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
7%
$15,106 交易量
$15,106 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$10,917 交易量
94%
民主黨
$4,189 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's uncontested primary victory on March 3 solidified his nomination in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP at 93.5%. Crawford boasts over $1 million in cash on hand and a history of dominant wins, including 73% in 2024, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in this reliably red battleground covering eastern Arkansas. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but the November 3 general election could see shifts from a Crawford scandal, national Democratic wave, or unexpected Green momentum via fundraising or endorsements. Libertarian Steve Parsons adds a minor third option.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$15,106結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's uncontested primary victory on March 3 solidified his nomination in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP at 93.5%. Crawford boasts over $1 million in cash on hand and a history of dominant wins, including 73% in 2024, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in this reliably red battleground covering eastern Arkansas. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but the November 3 general election could see shifts from a Crawford scandal, national Democratic wave, or unexpected Green momentum via fundraising or endorsements. Libertarian Steve Parsons adds a minor third option.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,106結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's uncontested primary victory on March 3 solidified his nomination in Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, driving trader consensus to heavily favor the GOP at 93.5%. Crawford boasts over $1 million in cash on hand and a history of dominant wins, including 73% in 2024, while Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist who also advanced unopposed, faces structural barriers in this reliably red battleground covering eastern Arkansas. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but the November 3 general election could see shifts from a Crawford scandal, national Democratic wave, or unexpected Green momentum via fundraising or endorsements. Libertarian Steve Parsons adds a minor third option.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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