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在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?

Market icon

在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?

13% 機率
Polymarket

$47,529 交易量

13% 機率
Polymarket

$47,529 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability for "No" on another Elon Musk baby by June 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, credible reports, or social media hints from Musk or his partners indicating a late-stage pregnancy. Recent developments, including Musk's January 2026 custody acknowledgment of a one-year-old with influencer Ashley St. Clair—bringing his confirmed children to 14—underscore ongoing family complexities amid his pronatalist advocacy for higher birth rates to counter population decline. No fresh catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days, with Musk's X activity focusing on xAI's Grok updates and Tesla's Cybertruck family features rather than personal milestones, reinforcing skepticism for an imminent birth as the deadline approaches.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$47,529
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 6:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability for "No" on another Elon Musk baby by June 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, credible reports, or social media hints from Musk or his partners indicating a late-stage pregnancy. Recent developments, including Musk's January 2026 custody acknowledgment of a one-year-old with influencer Ashley St. Clair—bringing his confirmed children to 14—underscore ongoing family complexities amid his pronatalist advocacy for higher birth rates to counter population decline. No fresh catalysts have emerged in the past 30 days, with Musk's X activity focusing on xAI's Grok updates and Tesla's Cybertruck family features rather than personal milestones, reinforcing skepticism for an imminent birth as the deadline approaches.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$47,529
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 6:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "到6月30日,伊隆又將迎來一個寶寶?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?" has generated $47.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?" is "到6月30日,伊隆又將迎來一個寶寶?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在6月30日前再生一個伊隆寶寶?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.