2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

Name: 2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者
Start: 2025-11-13T00:40:59.090Z
End: 2026-06-03T00:00:00.000Z

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者 — 討論

have12345 · 2025-11-13T00:40:59.090Z

關於2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·韓國

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

鍾元五 80%

吳世勳 13%

朴柱民 6.8%

全賢姬 <1%

$7,795,304 交易量

Jun 3, 2026

鍾元五

$286,465 交易量

80%

吳世勳

$550,721 交易量

13%

朴柱民

$361,027 交易量

全賢姬

$698,559 交易量

<1%

羅卿瑗

$716,751 交易量

<1%

韓東勳

$646,575 交易量

<1%

趙恩熙

$808,126 交易量

<1%

安哲秀

$547,054 交易量

<1%

朴用鎮

$814,216 交易量

<1%

洪翼杓

$646,287 交易量

<1%

曹國

$366,201 交易量

<1%

姜勳植

$330,730 交易量

<1%

樸洪根

$478,209 交易量

<1%

徐瑛教

$545,746 交易量

<1%

鍾元五 80%

吳世勳 13%

朴柱民 6.8%

全賢姬 <1%

$7,795,304 交易量

Jun 3, 2026

鍾元五

$286,465 交易量

80%

吳世勳

$550,721 交易量

13%

朴柱民

$361,027 交易量

全賢姬

$698,559 交易量

<1%

羅卿瑗

$716,751 交易量

<1%

韓東勳

$646,575 交易量

<1%

趙恩熙

$808,126 交易量

<1%

安哲秀

$547,054 交易量

<1%

朴用鎮

$814,216 交易量

<1%

洪翼杓

$646,287 交易量

<1%

曹國

$366,201 交易量

<1%

姜勳植

$330,730 交易量

<1%

樸洪根

$478,209 交易量

<1%

徐瑛教

$545,746 交易量

<1%

Chong Won-oh's dominant trader consensus at 79.5% stems from his commanding performance in the Democratic Party's Seoul mayoral primary on March 23-24, where he advanced to the final round among three candidates using a dues-paying members vote, solidifying him as the likely nominee amid recent polls showing the party leading in Seoul ahead of the June 3 local elections. Incumbent Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who re-entered the People Power Party primary on March 17 after briefly dropping out, holds 12.5% as the conservative frontrunner, though his party trails in surveys. Park Ju-min at 6.8% reflects secondary Democratic positioning, while others lag amid ongoing primaries and national momentum favoring opposition in battleground regions.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 29, 2026, 5:32 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "鍾元五" at 80%, followed by "吳世勳" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $7.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" is "鍾元五" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吳世勳" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $7.8 million traded on “2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 80¢ for "鍾元五" in the "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 80% chance that "鍾元五" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 80¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 20¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" market has an active community of 13 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (13)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" generated on Polymarket?

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What are the current odds for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者"?

How will "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" be resolved?

Can I follow "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" without placing a trade?

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How do I start trading on "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者"?

What does a price of 80¢ for "鍾元五" mean?

When does the "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" market close?

What are traders saying about "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者"?

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