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政治·韓國

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·韓國

2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者

鍾元五 79%

吳世勳 13%

朴柱民 6.8%

全賢姬 <1%

Polymarket

$7,520,930 交易量

鍾元五 79%

吳世勳 13%

朴柱民 6.8%

全賢姬 <1%

Polymarket

$7,520,930 交易量

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鍾元五

$286,437 交易量

79%

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吳世勳

$550,320 交易量

13%

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朴柱民

$357,462 交易量

7%

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全賢姬

$698,510 交易量

<1%

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羅卿瑗

$670,601 交易量

<1%

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韓東勳

$646,533 交易量

<1%

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安哲秀

$540,310 交易量

<1%

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趙恩熙

$771,621 交易量

<1%

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朴用鎮

$780,202 交易量

<1%

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洪翼杓

$609,705 交易量

<1%

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曹國

$331,903 交易量

<1%

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姜勳植

$329,631 交易量

<1%

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樸洪根

$440,969 交易量

<1%

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徐瑛教

$506,916 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors former Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh at 79.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his strong advancement in the Democratic Party of Korea's preliminary primary on March 23-24, where he, Assemblyman Park Ju-min, and Assemblywoman Jeon Hyun-hee progressed to the main primary using dues-paying members' votes. Chong's popularity stems from revitalizing Seongsu-dong into a trendy hub and perceived backing from party leader Lee Jae-myung, positioning him as the likely nominee against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who holds 12.5% amid tight head-to-head polls from January. Park Ju-min trails at 6.9% as a primary rival, with the main primary outcome pivotal ahead of the general vote.

Trader consensus heavily favors former Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh at 79.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his strong advancement in the Democratic Party of Korea's preliminary primary on March 23-24, where he, Assemblyman Park Ju-min, and Assemblywoman Jeon Hyun-hee progressed to the main primary using dues-paying members' votes. Chong's popularity stems from revitalizing Seongsu-dong into a trendy hub and perceived backing from party leader Lee Jae-myung, positioning him as the likely nominee against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who holds 12.5% amid tight head-to-head polls from January. Park Ju-min trails at 6.9% as a primary rival, with the main primary outcome pivotal ahead of the general vote.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors former Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh at 79.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his strong advancement in the Democratic Party of Korea's preliminary primary on March 23-24, where he, Assemblyman Park Ju-min, and Assemblywoman Jeon Hyun-hee progressed to the main primary using dues-paying members' votes. Chong's popularity stems from revitalizing Seongsu-dong into a trendy hub and perceived backing from party leader Lee Jae-myung, positioning him as the likely nominee against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who holds 12.5% amid tight head-to-head polls from January. Park Ju-min trails at 6.9% as a primary rival, with the main primary outcome pivotal ahead of the general vote.

Trader consensus heavily favors former Seongdong District Mayor Chong Won-oh at 79.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by his strong advancement in the Democratic Party of Korea's preliminary primary on March 23-24, where he, Assemblyman Park Ju-min, and Assemblywoman Jeon Hyun-hee progressed to the main primary using dues-paying members' votes. Chong's popularity stems from revitalizing Seongsu-dong into a trendy hub and perceived backing from party leader Lee Jae-myung, positioning him as the likely nominee against incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who holds 12.5% amid tight head-to-head polls from January. Park Ju-min trails at 6.9% as a primary rival, with the main primary outcome pivotal ahead of the general vote.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "鍾元五" at 79%, followed by "吳世勳" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $7.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" is "鍾元五" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "吳世勳" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年首爾市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.