CarMax's upcoming September 29 earnings release for the second quarter ending August 31 drives the near-even odds on beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.69–$0.72 EPS. The Q1 fiscal 2027 report delivered a strong beat with $1.31 actual versus $0.94–$0.97 expected and 6% revenue growth, reflecting early traction from new CEO Keith Barr's four-pillar growth plan, including price reductions and digital enhancements that lifted unit sales trends despite compressed used-vehicle margins. Offsetting factors include year-over-year EPS declines in several prior quarters, a recent Zacks downgrade to hold, and persistent pressures from competitive used-auto markets and planned SG&A reductions. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether these initiatives can sustain beats against analyst projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated49% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
49% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
CarMax's upcoming September 29 earnings release for the second quarter ending August 31 drives the near-even odds on beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.69–$0.72 EPS. The Q1 fiscal 2027 report delivered a strong beat with $1.31 actual versus $0.94–$0.97 expected and 6% revenue growth, reflecting early traction from new CEO Keith Barr's four-pillar growth plan, including price reductions and digital enhancements that lifted unit sales trends despite compressed used-vehicle margins. Offsetting factors include year-over-year EPS declines in several prior quarters, a recent Zacks downgrade to hold, and persistent pressures from competitive used-auto markets and planned SG&A reductions. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether these initiatives can sustain beats against analyst projections.
As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,370End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/KMX/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
CarMax's upcoming September 29 earnings release for the second quarter ending August 31 drives the near-even odds on beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.69–$0.72 EPS. The Q1 fiscal 2027 report delivered a strong beat with $1.31 actual versus $0.94–$0.97 expected and 6% revenue growth, reflecting early traction from new CEO Keith Barr's four-pillar growth plan, including price reductions and digital enhancements that lifted unit sales trends despite compressed used-vehicle margins. Offsetting factors include year-over-year EPS declines in several prior quarters, a recent Zacks downgrade to hold, and persistent pressures from competitive used-auto markets and planned SG&A reductions. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether these initiatives can sustain beats against analyst projections.
As of market creation, CarMax is estimated to release earnings on September 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for CarMax's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.72 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if CarMax reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.72 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If CarMax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volume
$1,370End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/KMX/earningsResolver
0x65070BE91...CarMax's upcoming September 29 earnings release for the second quarter ending August 31 drives the near-even odds on beating consensus estimates of roughly $0.69–$0.72 EPS. The Q1 fiscal 2027 report delivered a strong beat with $1.31 actual versus $0.94–$0.97 expected and 6% revenue growth, reflecting early traction from new CEO Keith Barr's four-pillar growth plan, including price reductions and digital enhancements that lifted unit sales trends despite compressed used-vehicle margins. Offsetting factors include year-over-year EPS declines in several prior quarters, a recent Zacks downgrade to hold, and persistent pressures from competitive used-auto markets and planned SG&A reductions. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether these initiatives can sustain beats against analyst projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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