Tesla shares closed Monday at $375.30 after gaining 3% on provisional Czech approval for Full Self-Driving, adding to recent European regulatory progress and boosting sentiment around autonomy revenue potential. Traders are weighing this tailwind against NHTSA scrutiny of the Cybercab design, mixed Q2 results showing revenue growth but margin pressure, and the stock’s elevated valuation near 348 times trailing earnings. Upcoming catalysts include the October 1 Roadster reveal and Q3 delivery figures, which could shift momentum. The dispersed probabilities across $340–$385 bins reflect uncertainty over whether recent gains hold through Friday’s close or face reversal amid regulatory and execution risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>$385 25%
$375-$380 15%
$370-$375 14%
$380-$385 14%
<$340
11%
$340-$345
7%
$345-$350
8%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
9%
$365-$370
12%
$370-$375
14%
$375-$380
15%
$380-$385
14%
>$385
25%
>$385 25%
$375-$380 15%
$370-$375 14%
$380-$385 14%
<$340
11%
$340-$345
7%
$345-$350
8%
$350-$355
9%
$355-$360
7%
$360-$365
9%
$365-$370
12%
$370-$375
14%
$375-$380
15%
$380-$385
14%
>$385
25%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed Monday at $375.30 after gaining 3% on provisional Czech approval for Full Self-Driving, adding to recent European regulatory progress and boosting sentiment around autonomy revenue potential. Traders are weighing this tailwind against NHTSA scrutiny of the Cybercab design, mixed Q2 results showing revenue growth but margin pressure, and the stock’s elevated valuation near 348 times trailing earnings. Upcoming catalysts include the October 1 Roadster reveal and Q3 delivery figures, which could shift momentum. The dispersed probabilities across $340–$385 bins reflect uncertainty over whether recent gains hold through Friday’s close or face reversal amid regulatory and execution risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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