Netflix shares have traded near $72 following the September 22 close, placing the stock squarely inside the $70–$80 band that commands 88.5% implied probability for the week of September 21. Second-quarter results released in July showed 13% revenue growth and solid subscriber gains, yet management guided to an 11.7% Q3 increase—the slowest pace since late 2023—reflecting maturing ad-tier momentum and prior price hikes. The stock has fallen more than 40% over the past year amid this deceleration, with elevated share repurchases providing only partial support. Traders are pricing limited near-term volatility around current levels ahead of any fresh fundamental catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$70-$80 89%
$60-$70 9%
$90-$100 7.5%
$100-$110 6.0%
<$30
1%
$30-$40
6%
$40-$50
6%
$50-$60
4%
$60-$70
9%
$70-$80
89%
$80-$90
5%
$90-$100
8%
$100-$110
6%
$110-$120
1%
>$120
1%
$70-$80 89%
$60-$70 9%
$90-$100 7.5%
$100-$110 6.0%
<$30
1%
$30-$40
6%
$40-$50
6%
$50-$60
4%
$60-$70
9%
$70-$80
89%
$80-$90
5%
$90-$100
8%
$100-$110
6%
$110-$120
1%
>$120
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Netflix shares have traded near $72 following the September 22 close, placing the stock squarely inside the $70–$80 band that commands 88.5% implied probability for the week of September 21. Second-quarter results released in July showed 13% revenue growth and solid subscriber gains, yet management guided to an 11.7% Q3 increase—the slowest pace since late 2023—reflecting maturing ad-tier momentum and prior price hikes. The stock has fallen more than 40% over the past year amid this deceleration, with elevated share repurchases providing only partial support. Traders are pricing limited near-term volatility around current levels ahead of any fresh fundamental catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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