Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with GOP voter registration over 60% and supermajorities in both legislative chambers, anchors trader consensus at 95% for a Republican gubernatorial winner in the 2026 election. Incumbent Mark Gordon secured re-election in 2022 by 27 points against a Democrat, continuing a streak of GOP victories by wide margins since the 1980s amid minimal Democratic infrastructure. No significant developments, such as candidate announcements or polls, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. While structural factors like safe-state status and historical base rates favor Republicans, low-probability shifts could arise from a major GOP primary implosion, incumbent retirement scandal, or national blue wave influencing turnout in the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вайоминга
Победитель выборов губернатора Вайоминга
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
95%
Демократ
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканец
$0 Объем
95%
Демократ
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with GOP voter registration over 60% and supermajorities in both legislative chambers, anchors trader consensus at 95% for a Republican gubernatorial winner in the 2026 election. Incumbent Mark Gordon secured re-election in 2022 by 27 points against a Democrat, continuing a streak of GOP victories by wide margins since the 1980s amid minimal Democratic infrastructure. No significant developments, such as candidate announcements or polls, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. While structural factors like safe-state status and historical base rates favor Republicans, low-probability shifts could arise from a major GOP primary implosion, incumbent retirement scandal, or national blue wave influencing turnout in the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with GOP voter registration over 60% and supermajorities in both legislative chambers, anchors trader consensus at 95% for a Republican gubernatorial winner in the 2026 election. Incumbent Mark Gordon secured re-election in 2022 by 27 points against a Democrat, continuing a streak of GOP victories by wide margins since the 1980s amid minimal Democratic infrastructure. No significant developments, such as candidate announcements or polls, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. While structural factors like safe-state status and historical base rates favor Republicans, low-probability shifts could arise from a major GOP primary implosion, incumbent retirement scandal, or national blue wave influencing turnout in the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, with GOP voter registration over 60% and supermajorities in both legislative chambers, anchors trader consensus at 95% for a Republican gubernatorial winner in the 2026 election. Incumbent Mark Gordon secured re-election in 2022 by 27 points against a Democrat, continuing a streak of GOP victories by wide margins since the 1980s amid minimal Democratic infrastructure. No significant developments, such as candidate announcements or polls, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this positioning. While structural factors like safe-state status and historical base rates favor Republicans, low-probability shifts could arise from a major GOP primary implosion, incumbent retirement scandal, or national blue wave influencing turnout in the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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