Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$18,136 Объем
$18,136 Объем
18 мар. 2026 г.
Да
$18,136 Объем
$18,136 Объем
18 мар. 2026 г.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Объем
$18,136Дата окончания
18 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Waller votes in dissent from the FOMC decision on the target federal funds rate at this FOMC meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$18,136Дата окончания
18 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 100% implied probability against Christopher Waller dissenting at the December 17-18 FOMC meeting, driven by his recent speeches affirming support for a 25 basis point rate cut if inflation data remains on track toward 2%. Waller's data-dependent stance mirrors Fed Chair Powell's gradual easing narrative, reinforced by tame November CPI prints showing core inflation at 2.7% year-over-year—below recent peaks—and resilient labor markets without overheating signals. No public indications of divergence exist, with Waller voting alongside the majority in prior 2024 meetings. Tail risks include hotter-than-expected jobs data on December 6 potentially prompting a hawkish pivot, though such a shift remains improbable given his consistent rhetoric.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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