Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot has generated trader buzz following the October 10 "We, Robot" event, where prototypes demonstrated tasks like serving drinks and interacting with guests—though later disclosures revealed teleoperation rather than full autonomy, cooling some enthusiasm for near-term capabilities. Elon Musk reiterated during the October 23 Q3 earnings call that low-volume production for internal Tesla factory use will begin in 2025, with high-volume sales to external customers targeted for 2026, aligning with ambitious timelines amid supply chain and AI training challenges. Competitive pressure from Figure AI and Boston Dynamics underscores the need for demonstrated end-to-end autonomy; watch for Q4 progress videos or CES 2025 reveals that could validate or delay market-implied production milestones.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВыпустит ли Тесла Оптимуса...?
Выпустит ли Тесла Оптимуса...?
$65,936 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
30 июня
9%
31 декабря
24%
$65,936 Объем
30 июня
$62,127 Объем
9%
31 декабря
$3,809 Объем
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
Открытие рынка: Sep 26, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Объем
$65,936Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Sep 26, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
Объем
$65,936Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Sep 26, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot has generated trader buzz following the October 10 "We, Robot" event, where prototypes demonstrated tasks like serving drinks and interacting with guests—though later disclosures revealed teleoperation rather than full autonomy, cooling some enthusiasm for near-term capabilities. Elon Musk reiterated during the October 23 Q3 earnings call that low-volume production for internal Tesla factory use will begin in 2025, with high-volume sales to external customers targeted for 2026, aligning with ambitious timelines amid supply chain and AI training challenges. Competitive pressure from Figure AI and Boston Dynamics underscores the need for demonstrated end-to-end autonomy; watch for Q4 progress videos or CES 2025 reveals that could validate or delay market-implied production milestones.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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