Paramount leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability following Warner Bros. Discovery's February 27 definitive merger agreement to sell to Paramount Skydance for $31 per share in a $111 billion all-cash deal, after outbidding Netflix, which declined to match. The WBD board unanimously supports the transaction, with a special shareholder meeting set for April 23 to seek approval from shareholders of record as of March 20; closure is targeted for Q3 2026 pending clearances. Recent DOJ antitrust subpoenas signal intensifying regulatory scrutiny over media consolidation, bolstering the 23.5% odds on no deal by June 30, 2027, while Netflix and Comcast remain marginal after exiting contention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоParamount 72%
Никто до 30 июня 2027 года 24%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$965,384 Объем
$965,384 Объем
Paramount
72%
Никто до 30 июня 2027 года
24%
Netflix
1%
Comcast
<1%
Paramount 72%
Никто до 30 июня 2027 года 24%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$965,384 Объем
$965,384 Объем
Paramount
72%
Никто до 30 июня 2027 года
24%
Netflix
1%
Comcast
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paramount leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability following Warner Bros. Discovery's February 27 definitive merger agreement to sell to Paramount Skydance for $31 per share in a $111 billion all-cash deal, after outbidding Netflix, which declined to match. The WBD board unanimously supports the transaction, with a special shareholder meeting set for April 23 to seek approval from shareholders of record as of March 20; closure is targeted for Q3 2026 pending clearances. Recent DOJ antitrust subpoenas signal intensifying regulatory scrutiny over media consolidation, bolstering the 23.5% odds on no deal by June 30, 2027, while Netflix and Comcast remain marginal after exiting contention.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы